Match Info

HUNGARY: OTP BANK LIGA - ROUND 20

Date: 19 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Bozsik Aréna (Budapest)

Referee: Bognar T. (Hun)


	Budapest Honved		Debreceni

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.3	3
	2.35	3.2	2.8
	2.3	3.35	2.9
	2.44	3.41	2.94
	2.3	3.2	2.88
	2.42	3.26	2.96
	2.35	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (3)	3.28 ↑ (3.1)	2.91 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Budapest Honved
39.5%

Draw
28.4%

Debreceni
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

29.8%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

29.2%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Budapest Honved has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Budapest Honved's performance.

Debreceni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Debreceni might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Budapest Honved than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Budapest Honved that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Debreceni than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Debreceni could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Budapest Honved - Debreceni Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Honved will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Debreceni will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Honved: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Merkantil Bank Liga and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Honved won 2.

Honved is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Debreceni is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 28 head-to-head matches Honved won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 44-55.

Including matches at home between the teams Honved won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24-29.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Budapest Honved FC
Hungarian NB I
11.02.23	Kecskemeti - Budapest Honved	2:2 ✺
Hungarian Cup
07.02.23	Vasas - Budapest Honved	2:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
04.02.23	Budapest Honved - Kisvárda	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	Ujpest - Budapest Honved	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.01.23	Budapest Honved - Javor Ivanjica	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLTLL
- Debreceni VSC
Hungarian NB I
11.02.23	Debreceni - Paksi SE	2:1 ✺
Hungarian Cup
08.02.23	Győri ETO - Debreceni	1:2 ET ✺
Hungarian NB I
04.02.23	Videoton - Debreceni	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Debreceni - Zalaegerszegi TE	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.01.23	Śląsk Wrocław - Debreceni	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
01.10.22	Debreceni - Budapest Honved	4:3
05.03.22	Budapest Honved - Debreceni	4:2
06.11.21	Debreceni - Budapest Honved	5:3
31.07.21	Budapest Honved - Debreceni	1:4
31.05.20	Budapest Honved - Debreceni	3:1
07.12.19	Debreceni - Budapest Honved	1:1
24.08.19	Budapest Honved - Debreceni	2:3

Upcoming Matches