Match Info

NB I. - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Fehérvári úti stadion (Paks)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Paksi SE		Debreceni

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.75	3.40
	1.85	3.90	3.30
	1.95	3.95	3.30
	1.91	4.18	3.56
	1.92	4.01	3.4	Watch
	1.86	4.10	3.50
	1.83	3.82	3.44
	1.84	3.80	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.93)	3.94 ↑ (3.85)	3.41 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paksi SE
49.4%

Draw
23.5%

Debreceni
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

24.3%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

24%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paksi SE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

The chances for Debreceni have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Debreceni than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Paksi SE - Debreceni Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Paks will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Paks (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paks (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kovacsik A. (G) 6. Gyorfi M. 12. Vas G. 19. Horvath K. 30. Szabo J. (C) 4. Lapu A. 17. Peto M. 15. Belenyesi C. 21. Papp K. 10. Haraszti Z. 7. Szalai J.	1. Andreev P. (G) 23. Tercza G. 2. Szakal D. 26. Lang A. 3. Guerrero A. 6. Boskovic B. 75. Patai D. 24. Egri I. 10. Dzsudzsak B. (C) 97. Denes C. 11. Szendrei A.
Substitutes
8. Balogh B. 27. Galambos J. 28. Gyetvan M. (G) 9. Hahn J. 24. Lenzser B. 14. Silye E. 20. Simut M. 29. Toth B. 5. Vecsei B. 22. Windecker J.	39. Adinany B. 25. Baldoni S. 99. Cibla F. 12. Erdelyi B. (G) 40. Hermann D. 66. Janneh J. 18. Kaye S. 72. Keller R. 20. Macso M. 8. Myrtaj L. 78. Sain Balasz C. 16. Samper S.
Coaches
Bognar G.	Remmel G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, Szendrei A. ⚽, Egri I. (A),
22', 0 - 2, Szendrei A. ⚽, Denes C. (A),
24', 1 - 2, Haraszti Z. ⚽,
39', 1 - 3, Guerrero A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Horvath K. ↓, Windecker J. ↑,
46', Belenyesi C. ↓, Toth B. ↑,
55', Dzsudzsak B. ↓, Sain Balasz C. ↑,
68', Egri I. ↓, Baldoni S. ↑,
68', Patai D. ↓, Samper S. ↑,
68', Szendrei A. ↓, Adinany B. ↑,
71', 1 - 4, Vas G. (Own goal),
75', Lapu A. ↓, Simut M. ↑,
75', Szalai J. ↓, Galambos J. ↑,
76', Andreev P. ↓, Erdelyi B. ↑,
81', 2 - 4, Toth B. ⚽, Gyorfi M. (A),
88', Szabo J. 🟨,
89', Denes C. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 11 in the zone NB I. (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paks won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Paks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Paks has had a series of away games.

Paks could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paks won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:27. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Paks won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:14. (average 2.1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Paks	8	3	2	3	16:17	-1	11
9	Debrecen	8	2	3	3	12:15	-3	9

Last Results with these Odds

Paksi SE - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 48.53%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I
29.08.26	Nyíregyháza Spartacus - Paksi SE	1:1 ✺
21.08.26	Paksi SE - Ujpest	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Puskás Academy - Paksi SE	3:2 ✺
03.08.26	Zalaegerszegi TE - Paksi SE	5:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Panathinaikos - Paksi SE	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWLLT
- Debreceni VSC
Hungarian NB I
28.08.26	Debreceni - MTK Budapest	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Kisvárda - Debreceni	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Debreceni - Győri ETO	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.08.26	Copenhagen - Debreceni	5:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
09.08.26	Debreceni - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
03.05.26	Paksi SE - Debreceni	5:2
07.02.26	Debreceni - Paksi SE	1:0
18.10.25	Paksi SE - Debreceni	1:1
18.05.25	Debreceni - Paksi SE	0:0
22.02.25	Paksi SE - Debreceni	4:3
19.10.24	Debreceni - Paksi SE	0:5
10.03.24	Paksi SE - Debreceni	1:1

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