Match Info

Hungarian Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Bozsik Arena (Budapest)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	Budapest Honved		Diósgyőri

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.55	3
	2.08	3.69	3
	2.32	3.71	2.71
	2.05	3.4	3
	2.05	3.78	3.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 (2.12)	3.63 ↑ (3.38)	2.98 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Budapest Honved
43.6%

Draw
25.4%

Diósgyőri
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

27.1%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

25.6%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Budapest Honved has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Diósgyőri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Budapest Honved than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diósgyőri than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Budapest Honved - Diósgyőri Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Honved (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Honved (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Budapest Honved will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Honved (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Duzs G. (G) 4. Szabo A. 44. Baki A. 5. Csontos D. 49. Pauljevic B. 40. Szamosi A. 99. Pekar I. 11. Hangya S. (C) 9. Gyurcso A. 17. Pinte P. 23. Medgyes Z.	31. Megyeri G. (G) 85. Szakos B. 6. Bardos B. 93. Tamas M. 22. Bokros S. 25. Holdampf G. (C) 19. Keita A. 9. Sajban M. 24. Roguljic A. 23. Peto M. 11. Colley L.
Substitutes
15. Csonka B. 39. Hetyei S. 72. Kallai K. 71. Kantor K. 19. Kesztyus B. 75. Kovacs E. 37. Nyers A. 83. Tujvel T. (G) 36. Ujvary F. 77. Varga B. 21. Varga K. 7. Zuigeber A.	32. Ambrose P. 74. Babos B. 20. Benyei A. 44. Esiti A. 21. Galantai T. 17. Macso M. 30. Sentic K. (G) 3. Szatmari C. 99. Tuska B. (G) 50. Vallejo A. 68. Varga Zeteny I. 86. Zsombor S.
Coaches
Feczko T.	Radenkovic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Pauljevic B. 🟨,
27', Szamosi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Baki A. 🟨,
65', 1 - 0, Gyurcso A. ⚽,
69', Medgyes Z. ↓, Zuigeber A. ↑,
69', Pekar I. ↓, Kallai K. ↑,
69', Keita A. ↓, Esiti A. ↑,
69', Peto M. ↓, Varga Zeteny I. ↑,
71', Tamas M. 🟨,
75', Roguljic A. ↓, Ambrose P. ↑,
75', Sajban M. ↓, Babos B. ↑,
79', Gyurcso A. ↓, Kantor K. ↑,
79', Pauljevic B. ↓, Csonka B. ↑,
81', Holdampf G. ↓, Benyei A. ↑,
82', Kallai K. 🟨,
86', Pinte P. ↓, Varga K. ↑,
90+3', Varga K. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Honved won 3.

Honved has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Diósgyőri has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Honved is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Honved won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:28. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Honved won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:13. (average 2:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Diósgyőri - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 29.78%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Budapest Honved FC
Hungarian NB II
28.02.26	Csákvári - Budapest Honved	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Budapest Honved - Ajka	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Budapest Honved - Szentlőrinc	2:1 ✺
Hungarian Cup
11.02.26	Budapest Honved - Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest	2:0 ✺
Hungarian NB II
08.02.26	Budafoki - Budapest Honved	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWT
- Diósgyőri VTK
Hungarian NB I
28.02.26	Diósgyőri - Zalaegerszegi TE	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Ujpest - Diósgyőri	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Paksi SE - Diósgyőri	1:2 ✺
Hungarian Cup
11.02.26	Paksi SE - Diósgyőri	2:6 ✺
Hungarian NB I
07.02.26	Diósgyőri - Győri ETO	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
13.03.21	Diósgyőri - Budapest Honved	0:0
16.12.20	Budapest Honved - Diósgyőri	5:1
12.09.20	Diósgyőri - Budapest Honved	2:4
29.02.20	Budapest Honved - Diósgyőri	0:4
09.11.19	Budapest Honved - Diósgyőri	1:0
04.08.19	Diósgyőri - Budapest Honved	2:1
11.05.19	Budapest Honved - Diósgyőri	4:4

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