Match Info

Merkantil Bank Liga - Round 24

Date: 14 April 2025, Monday

Location: Bozsik Arena (Budapest)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	Budapest Honved		Gyirmót

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.4	3.25
	2.02	3.3	3.35
	2.08	3.08	3.83	Watch
	2.1	3.26	3.57	Watch
	2.02	3.3	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.91)	3.27 ↓ (3.45)	3.47 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Budapest Honved
45.3%

Draw
28.2%

Gyirmót
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

26.4%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

25.6%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Budapest Honved has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Gyirmót has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Budapest Honved than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gyirmót than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Budapest Honved - Gyirmót Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Honved (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Budapest Honved will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Budapest Honved will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Honved (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
83. Tujvel T. (G) 27. Bevardi Z. 15. Csonka B. 5. Csontos D. 33. Hangya S. (C) 71. Kantor K. 22. Keresztes N. 23. Medgyes Z. 99. Pekar I. 4. Szabo A. 40. Szamosi A.	12. Rusak E. (G) 67. Csorgo V. 18. Hajdu A. 22. Helembai M. 84. Horvath R. 39. Hudak D. 7. Katona M. 95. Madarasz M. 6. Papp M. 99. Pyshchur O. 10. Ugrai R.
Substitutes
44. Baki A. 13. Csilus T. 97. Farkas B. 9. Ihrig-Farkas S. 75. Kovacs E. 16. Petrok V. 95. Racz G. (G) 8. Siger A. 77. Vernes R.	11. Adamcsek M. 9. Cserkuti-Nemeth O. 14. Dobozi K. 8. Gajdos Z. 30. Hudak M. 17. Ivan A. 24. Kecskes B. (G) 26. Kelemen M. 73. Kichun Y. 15. Kiss N. 20. Kovacs D. 44. Marlen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Horvath R. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Kantor K. ⚽,
14', Ugrai R. 🟨,
17', Csonka B. 🟨,
25', Csorgo V. 🟨,
26', 2 - 1, Szabo A. ⚽,
31', Szabo A. 🟨,
40', Helembai M. 🟨,
41', Szamosi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Helembai M. ↓, Kovacs D. ↑,
46', Csonka B. ↓, Baki A. ↑,
55', Medgyes Z. 🟨,
58', Csontos D. 🟨,
66', Kantor K. ↓, Ihrig-Farkas S. ↑,
68', Ugrai R. ↓, Gajdos Z. ↑,
68', Madarasz M. ↓, Ivan A. ↑,
75', Medgyes Z. ↓, Siger A. ↑,
75', Szamosi A. ↓, Kovacs E. ↑,
75', Pekar I. ↓, Csilus T. ↑,
76', Hajdu A. ↓, Marlen M. ↑,
79', Papp M. 🟨,
86', Csorgo V. ↓, Hudak M. ↑,
90+2', Keresztes N. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Honved won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Honved will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Honved won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.6:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Honved won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Budapest Honved FC
Hungarian NB II
06.04.25	BVSC-Zugló - Budapest Honved	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Budapest Honved - Csákvári	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Mezőkövesd-Zsóry - Budapest Honved	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Budapest Honved - Soroksár	3:2 ✺
02.03.25	Ajka - Budapest Honved	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLWL
- Gyirmót
Hungarian NB II
06.04.25	Gyirmót - Szeged 2011	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Békéscsaba 1912 - Gyirmót	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Gyirmót - Szentlőrinc	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Gyirmót - Kazincbarcikai	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	BVSC-Zugló - Gyirmót	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
06.10.24	Gyirmót - Budapest Honved	3:1
19.05.24	Budapest Honved - Gyirmót	2:2
26.11.23	Gyirmót - Budapest Honved	1:1
Hungarian NB I
24.04.22	Gyirmót - Budapest Honved	1:1
29.01.22	Budapest Honved - Gyirmót	0:1
25.09.21	Gyirmót - Budapest Honved	2:4
29.04.17	Budapest Honved - Gyirmót	1:0

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