Match Info

Ukrainian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Bukovyna Stadium (Chernivtsi)


	Bukovyna Chernivtsi		LNZ Cherkasy

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.00	2.10
	3.40	2.95	2.12
	3.57	2.91	2.26
	3.5	2.95	2.25	Watch
	3.50	2.75	2.20
	3.33	3.07	2.20	Watch
	3.20	2.95	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↓ (3.51)	2.94 ↓ (3.37)	2.18 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bukovyna Chernivtsi
27%

Draw
31.1%

LNZ Cherkasy
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

27.3%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

27.5%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bukovyna Chernivtsi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

LNZ Cherkasy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bukovyna Chernivtsi than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LNZ Cherkasy than the current prediction. (+5%)

Bukovyna Chernivtsi - LNZ Cherkasy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Kanevtsev D. (G) 3. Bezuglyy M. 9. Dadashov R. 11. Dakhnovskyi V. 97. Ilyin O. 2. Karas D. 77. Klepac M. 12. Pidlepenets Y. 95. Stasyuk P. (C) 44. Vitenchuk V. 20. Zaderaka M.	1. Ledviy D. (G) 90. Assinor M. 29. Didyk R. 14. Drambayev O. 17. Kuzyk D. 34. Muravskyi N. (C) 11. Pasich G. 16. Ryabov A. 30. Talles Brener 9. Tverdokhlib Y. 8. Yakubu A.
Substitutes
24. Busko A. 25. Grusha V. 7. Kozhushko O. 1. Matsyuk A. (G) 18. Odinaka E. 94. Penkov G. (G) 5. Pryimak V. 70. Talla M. 78. Yakhontov M.	77. Cara T. 4. Dajko A. 99. David C. 10. Jashari M. 75. Kitela A. 7. Mykytyshyn A. 12. Palamarchuk O. (G) 19. Pastukh Y. 93. Roman V. 72. Samoylenko K. (G) 92. Slyubyk B. 37. Yade P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Klepac M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
Penalties (0 - 3)
1, Dakhnovskyi V. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Didyk R. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kozhushko O. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Jashari M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Grusha V. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Kuzyk D. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

LNZ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

LNZ is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bukovyna won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Bukovyna won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

LNZ Cherkasy - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 46.48%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bukovyna Chernivtsi
Ukrainian Premier League
13.09.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Zorya Luhansk	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Dynamo Kyiv	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
22.08.26	Nyva Ternopil - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:4 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
15.08.26	Karpaty Lviv - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TTWWL
- LNZ Cherkasy
Ukrainian Premier League
12.09.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Obolon	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Dynamo Kyiv - LNZ Cherkasy	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Veres Rivne	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Chornomorets Odesa	2:0 ✺
10.08.26	Karpaty Lviv - LNZ Cherkasy	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
03.08.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - LNZ Cherkasy	0:0
Ukrainian Cup
04.03.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:1 penalties
Ukrainian Druha Liga
27.09.21	LNZ Cherkasy - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:2

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