Match Info

Premier League - Round 2

Date: 10 August 2026, Monday

Location: Ukraina Stadium (Lviv)

Referee: Omelchenko O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	UPL TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Karpaty Lviv		LNZ Cherkasy

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.00	2.50
	2.95	2.45	2.70
	3.00	2.88	2.78
	3.07	2.81	2.71	Watch
	3.00	2.65	2.70
	2.38	3.22	2.95	Watch
	2.95	2.80	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (3.28)	2.83 ↓ (3.33)	2.69 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karpaty Lviv
32.2%

Draw
33%

LNZ Cherkasy
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

28.6%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

28.9%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karpaty Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

LNZ Cherkasy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and LNZ Cherkasy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LNZ Cherkasy than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LNZ Cherkasy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Karpaty Lviv - LNZ Cherkasy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marchenko D. (G) 14. Calero I. 4. Baboglo V. 55. Stetskov T. 73. Lyakh R. 70. Alkain X. 8. Chachua A. 20. Sapuga M. 31. Rusyn N. 17. Vantukh R. 26. Kostenko Y.	12. Palamarchuk O. (G) 11. Pasich G. 29. Didyk R. 34. Muravskyi N. 14. Drambayev O. 17. Kuzyk D. 8. Yakubu A. 16. Ryabov A. 19. Pastukh Y. 77. Cara T. 90. Assinor M.
Substitutes
28. Dyedov O. 7. Fellipe Vieira 21. Iglesias Lois B. 47. Jean Pedroso 19. Karabin Y. 44. Kholod V. 11. Miroshnichenko D. 10. Moha Moukhliss 80. Mysak R. (G) 33. Shakh A. 36. Zhylkin A. (G)	27. Bennette J. 99. David C. 49. Donyk M. 75. Kitela A. 23. Kravchuk D. 1. Ledviy D. (G) 7. Mykytyshyn A. 93. Roman V. 72. Samoylenko K. (G) 30. Talles Brener 9. Tverdokhlib Y.
Coaches
Fernandez F.	Ponomaryov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Chachua A. 🟨,
24', Pastukh Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', Muravskyi N. 🟨,
51', Stetskov T. 🟨,
57', Pastukh Y. ↓, Talles Brener ↑,
62', Pasich G. 🟨,
64', Chachua A. ↓, Moha Moukhliss ↑,
64', Alkain X. ↓, Fellipe Vieira ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Baboglo V. ⚽, Fellipe Vieira (A),
72', Assinor M. ↓, David C. ↑,
72', Drambayev O. ↓, Mykytyshyn A. ↑,
74', Vantukh R. ↓, Miroshnichenko D. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Calero I. ⚽,
82', Sapuga M. ↓, Jean Pedroso ↑,
82', Calero I. ↓, Kholod V. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Fellipe Vieira ⚽, Jean Pedroso (A),
89', Cara T. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karpaty won 2.

Karpaty is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

LNZ has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Karpaty may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Karpaty has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Karpaty won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Karpaty won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Karpaty Lviv	7	4	2	1	15:5	10	14
8	LNZ Cherkasy	7	2	2	3	5:8	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karpaty Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
01.08.26	Kryvbas - Karpaty Lviv	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Karpaty Lviv - Željezničar Sarajevo	4:0 ✺
17.07.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Karpaty Lviv	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	NK Bravo - Karpaty Lviv	0:1 ✺
09.07.26	CFR Cluj - Karpaty Lviv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWTWL
- LNZ Cherkasy
Ukrainian Premier League
03.08.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - LNZ Cherkasy	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Gent - LNZ Cherkasy	1:0 penalties ✺
23.07.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Gent	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Göztepe	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Dinamo Zagreb - LNZ Cherkasy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
02.05.26	Karpaty Lviv - LNZ Cherkasy	0:0
03.11.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Karpaty Lviv	0:1
28.02.25	Karpaty Lviv - LNZ Cherkasy	1:0
26.08.24	LNZ Cherkasy - Karpaty Lviv	2:1
Ukrainian Persha Liga
22.05.23	LNZ Cherkasy - Karpaty Lviv	4:1
22.04.23	Karpaty Lviv - LNZ Cherkasy	1:1
Ukrainian Druha Liga
27.08.21	LNZ Cherkasy - Karpaty Lviv	1:0

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