Match Info

Super League - Round 25

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Milliy Stadium (Tashkent) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Uzbekistan	18:30	Futbol TV


	Bunyodkor		Mashal Mubarek

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.00	5.00
	1.50	3.95	4.90
	1.52	4.40	5.74
	1.41	4.29	6.8	Watch
	1.50	4.10	5.85
	1.51	4.22	5.46
	1.53	4.20	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.39)	4.17 ↓ (4.41)	5.54 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bunyodkor
61.4%

Draw
22%

Mashal Mubarek
16.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.1%

20.8%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

14.3%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bunyodkor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Mashal Mubarek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bunyodkor than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bunyodkor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mashal Mubarek than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bunyodkor - Mashal Mubarek Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bunyodkor will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bunyodkor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abdujalilov A. (G) 45. Tursunmahammadov S. 74. Bukrin I. 13. Khakimov M. 27. Anvarov I. 10. Turakulov A. 18. Akhmadjonov N. 17. Olimzhonov M. 66. Tulkinbekov A. 42. Ikromov A. 9. Krivokapic M.	73. Rusanov V. (G) 19. Tukhtasinov T. 99. Askarov B. 67. Abdirakhimov O. 2. Akramov Z. 24. Ifeanyi I. 8. Abduraymov S. 5. Tozhidinov K. 76. Jovliyev F. 38. Yarashev S. 28. Ismoilov E.
Substitutes
11. Abdunabiev S. 88. Annamatov M. 44. Bekmurodov A. 20. Bobomurodov A. 16. Botti F. (G) 56. Mirfayziyev A. 33. Naimov E. 14. Nematjonov S. 31. Sulaymonov A.	36. Abdulazizov J. 77. Abdulkhakov I. 87. Boymurodov M. 71. Gofurov S. 22. Muydinov M. 88. Rakhimov A. 7. Stojanovski V. 35. Tukhtaboev D. (G) 40. Xolmatov R.
Coaches
Boskovic I.	Lushchan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Akramov Z. ⚽, Ismoilov E. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Anvarov I. ⚽, Turakulov A. (A),
19', Ifeanyi I. 🟨,
34', 2 - 1, Tursunmahammadov S. ⚽, Turakulov A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Tozhidinov K. ↓, Abdulkhakov I. ↑,
66', Tukhtasinov T. ↓, Muydinov M. ↑,
66', Jovliyev F. ↓, Stojanovski V. ↑,
80', Olimzhonov M. ↓, Abdunabiev S. ↑,
81', Yarashev S. ↓, Abdulazizov J. ↑,
81', Ifeanyi I. ↓, Rakhimov A. ↑,
84', Anvarov I. ↓, Naimov E. ↑,
84', Krivokapic M. ↓, Nematjonov S. ↑,
88', Muydinov M. 🟨,
89', Naimov E. 🟨,
90+2', Ikromov A. ↓, Annamatov M. ↑,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 15th in the Super League (Relegation) and 16th in the Relegation - Pro Liga).

Mashal is Relegated to Pro Liga.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bunyodkor won 3.

Recent results have been tough for Bunyodkor (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Mashal is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Bunyodkor holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Bunyodkor has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 24:7 (averaging 1.7:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bunyodkor against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 17:2 goals (averaging 2.4:0.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Bunyodkor	25	8	2	15	26:41	-15	26
16	Mashal Muborak ✔	25	1	1	23	12:50	-38	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bunyodkor Tashkent
Uzbek League
16.10.26	Bunyodkor - Sogdiana Jizzakh	1:1 ✺
09.10.26	Pakhtakor - Bunyodkor	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Bunyodkor - Buxoro	2:1 ✺
Uzbek Cup
15.09.26	Bunyodkor - Lokomotiv Tashkent	0:1 ✺
Uzbek League
09.09.26	Nasaf Qarshi - Bunyodkor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLWLL
- Mashal Mubarek
Uzbek League
15.10.26	Mashal Mubarek - AGMK	0:1 ✺
09.10.26	Kokand 1912 - Mashal Mubarek	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Mashal Mubarek - Pakhtakor	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Mashal Mubarek	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Mashal Mubarek	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
07.04.26	Mashal Mubarek - Bunyodkor	0:1
26.10.25	Bunyodkor - Mashal Mubarek	2:1
26.05.25	Mashal Mubarek - Bunyodkor	1:1
06.08.21	Mashal Mubarek - Bunyodkor	1:1
10.03.21	Bunyodkor - Mashal Mubarek	1:0
16.09.20	Mashal Mubarek - Bunyodkor	1:2
07.03.20	Bunyodkor - Mashal Mubarek	1:0

Bunyodkor - Mashal Mubarek