The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bunyodkor 25.9%
Draw 25.9%
Sogdiana Jizzakh 48.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.3%
27.2%
41.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30%
26.1%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bunyodkor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bunyodkor's form might have worsened.
Sogdiana Jizzakh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sogdiana Jizzakh's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bunyodkor than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sogdiana Jizzakh than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Bunyodkor - Sogdiana Jizzakh Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Abdujalilov A. (G) 18. Akhmadjonov N. 13. Khakimov M. 3. Rakhmanov S. 45. Tursunmahammadov S. 66. Tulkinbekov A. 8. Pletnev D. 14. Nematjonov S. 10. Turakulov A. 21. Abdusalomov N. 11. Abdunabiev S.
27. Mitrovic M. (G) 2. Dzhuraboev Z. 3. Kobilov I. 13. Ivanovic F. 4. Dzhumatov B. 17. Karimov O. 10. Kakhramonov J. 32. Soyibov N. 14. Doriev L. 9. Zajmovic D. 28. Mavlonkulov S.
Substitutes
88. Annamatov M. 27. Anvarov I. 44. Bekmurodov A. 16. Botti F. (G) 74. Bukrin I. 42. Ikromov A. 9. Krivokapic M. 33. Naimov E. 17. Olimzhonov M.
22. Abdurashidov A. 8. Boltaboev J. 50. Kamolov S. 7. Micin P. 15. Mustafokulov K. 74. Nadzhafaliev B. (G) 77. Nurmatov O. 29. Saidov A. 19. Urinboev Z.
Coaches
Boskovic I.
Bakaev U.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Pletnev D. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Mavlonkulov S. ⚽,
32', Rakhmanov S. ↓, Bukrin I. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zajmovic D. ↓, Boltaboev J. ↑,
60', Nematjonov S. ↓, Anvarov I. ↑,
60', Abdunabiev S. ↓, Krivokapic M. ↑,
60', Pletnev D. ↓, Ikromov A. ↑,
68', Kakhramonov J. ↓, Abdurashidov A. ↑,
71', Soyibov N. ↓, Nurmatov O. ↑,
75', Akhmadjonov N. ↓, Olimzhonov M. ↑,
84', Mavlonkulov S. ↓, Kamolov S. ↑,
84', Doriev L. ↓, Urinboev Z. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Krivokapic M. ⚽, Turakulov A. (A),
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 15th in the Super League (Relegation) and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bunyodkor won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Bunyodkor (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Sogdiana has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Sogdiana has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Sogdiana is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bunyodkor has recorded 8 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:26 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bunyodkor against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with 12:11 goals (averaging 1.3:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Sogdiana
25
8
5
12
42:49
-7
29
13
Bunyodkor
25
8
2
15
26:41
-15
26
Last Results with these Odds
Bunyodkor - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.31%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Sogdiana Jizzakh - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.46%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.