Match Info

Date: 22 December 2020, Tuesday


	Burgan		Al Naser

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.9
	3.5	3.1	2
	3.85	2.95	1.85
	3.7	3	1.97
	4.03	3.16	2.01
	3.6	3	2.05
	3.74	3.18	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↓ (5.14)	3.1 ↓ (3.93)	1.97 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgan
24.4%

Draw
29.3%

Al Naser
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

22.9%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

19.1%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burgan's performance.

Al Naser has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Naser might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgan than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burgan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Naser than the current prediction. (+25.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Naser could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Burgan - Al Naser Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 2).

Burgan is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al Naser is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Al Naser is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Burgan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Burgan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgan SC
Kuwaiti Premier League
18.12.20	Burgan - Al Salmiya	1:2 ✺
13.12.20	Burgan - Al-Shabab Al Ahmadi	0:1 ✺
08.12.20	Al-Fahaheel - Burgan	1:1 ✺
02.12.20	Khaitan - Burgan	0:0 ✺
27.11.20	Burgan - Al Sahel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTTL
- Al Naser
Kuwaiti Premier League
18.12.20	Al Naser - Al Jahra	1:0 ✺
12.12.20	Al Naser - Al Tadamun	3:1 ✺
08.12.20	Al Qadsia - Al Naser	1:0 ✺
03.12.20	Al Sahel - Al Naser	0:1 ✺
29.11.20	Al Naser - Al Yarmouk Meshref	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Kuwaiti Premier League
14.03.17	Burgan - Al Naser	2:6
28.09.16	Al Naser - Burgan	2:0

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