Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Burgess Hill Town		Farnham Town

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.75	2.05
	2.5	3.4	2.3
	2.68	3.75	2.2
	2.31	3.84	2.47
	2.73	3.66	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.82)	3.68 ↑ (3.65)	2.26 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgess Hill Town
34.9%

Draw
24.7%

Farnham Town
40.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.3%

25%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

24%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgess Hill Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Farnham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgess Hill Town than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farnham Town than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Burgess Hill Town - Farnham Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 3)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

In recent matches, Burgess Hill has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Farnham is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Burgess Hill may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Burgess Hill has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgess Hill Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.09.25	Cheshunt - Burgess Hill Town	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Lewes - Burgess Hill Town	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Brentwood Town - Burgess Hill Town	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Aveley - Burgess Hill Town	3:3 ✺
12.08.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Burgess Hill Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLLTW
- Farnham Town
English Southern League South Division
09.09.25	Poole Town - Farnham Town	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Farnham Town - Sholing	2:2 ✺
25.08.25	Dorchester Town - Farnham Town	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Farnham Town - Wimborne Town	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Chertsey Town - Farnham Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTWTW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgess Hill Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
31.10.26	Burgess Hill Town - Enfield Town	✺
- Farnham Town
English National League South
31.10.26	Dover Athletic - Farnham Town	✺

Burgess Hill Town - Farnham Town