Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 21

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday


	Burgos Promesas		Leonesa B

	1	X	2
	1.83	2.85	4.5
	1.99	2.47	5.09
	1.94	2.83	4.56
	1.82	3.18	4.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.44)	2.83 ↓ (3.88)	4.61 ↓ (6.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos Promesas
48.1%

Draw
32.2%

Leonesa B
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

23.5%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

21.9%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burgos Promesas's form might have worsened.

Leonesa B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leonesa B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+19.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgos Promesas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa B than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leonesa B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Burgos Promesas - Leonesa B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Menor J. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Suarez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 1 - 2, Dominguez J. ⚽,
90', 1 - 3, Fernandez D. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
19.01.25	Palencia CA - Burgos Promesas	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Mirandés B - Burgos Promesas	0:1 ✺
04.01.25	Burgos Promesas - Atlético Mansillés	2:1 ✺
22.12.24	Ciudad Rodrigo - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Burgos Promesas - Almazán	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWTT
- Leonesa B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
18.01.25	Leonesa B - La Virgen del Camino	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Leonesa B - Laguna de Tenerife	3:1 ✺
21.12.24	Palencia CA - Leonesa B	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Leonesa B - Mirandés B	1:2 ✺
07.12.24	Atlético Mansillés - Leonesa B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
14.09.24	Leonesa B - Burgos Promesas	2:1
02.12.23	Leonesa B - Burgos Promesas	0:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
29.05.21	Burgos Promesas - Leonesa B	2:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
09.05.21	Burgos Promesas - Leonesa B	1:0
19.05.19	Leonesa B - Burgos Promesas	1:1
22.12.18	Burgos Promesas - Leonesa B	1:2

Burgos Promesas - Leonesa B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide