Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 20

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday


	Palencia CA		Burgos Promesas

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.25	3.9
	1.74	3.28	4.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.22)	3.27 ↑ (3.25)	4.24 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palencia CA
51.2%

Draw
27.6%

Burgos Promesas
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

28%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

27.3%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palencia CA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palencia CA's performance.

Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burgos Promesas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Palencia CA that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burgos Promesas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Palencia CA - Burgos Promesas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, El Goumiri O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palencia CA
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
11.01.25	Palencia CA - La Virgen del Camino	2:0 ✺
04.01.25	Laguna de Tenerife - Palencia CA	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Palencia CA - Leonesa B	1:1 ✺
06.12.24	Mirandés B - Palencia CA	0:0 ✺
30.11.24	Palencia CA - Atlético Mansillés	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTTW
- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
12.01.25	Mirandés B - Burgos Promesas	0:1 ✺
04.01.25	Burgos Promesas - Atlético Mansillés	2:1 ✺
22.12.24	Ciudad Rodrigo - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Burgos Promesas - Almazán	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	Atlético Tordesillas - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
08.09.24	Burgos Promesas - Palencia CA	2:2
16.12.23	Burgos Promesas - Palencia CA	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
23.04.23	Palencia CA - Burgos Promesas	2:1
10.12.22	Burgos Promesas - Palencia CA	0:2
Club Friendly
07.08.21	Burgos Promesas - Palencia CA	1:1

Palencia CA - Burgos Promesas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide