Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Burgos Promesas		Polvorín

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Burgos Promesas
34.5%

Draw
31.3%

Polvorín
34.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26%

29.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

27.9%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burgos Promesas's performance.

Polvorín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polvorín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burgos Promesas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polvorín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Burgos Promesas has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Polvorín is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.10.22	Guijuelo - Burgos Promesas	3:0 ✺
09.10.22	Burgos Promesas - Zamora	0:1 ✺
02.10.22	Langreo - Burgos Promesas	2:0 ✺
25.09.22	Burgos Promesas - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Real Oviedo B - Burgos Promesas	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- Polvorín FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.10.22	Polvorín - Compostela	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	Marino de Luanco - Polvorín	0:0 ✺
02.10.22	Polvorín - Rayo Cantabria	2:3 ✺
25.09.22	Laredo - Polvorín	3:1 ✺
18.09.22	Polvorín - Valladolid B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTLLL

Burgos Promesas - Polvorín