Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday


	Polvorín		Compostela

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.15
	3.1	3.4	2.07
	2.95	3.15	2.21
	3.49	2.95	2.24
	3.28	3.16	2.12
	3	3.15	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (3.32)	3.15 ↓ (3.5)	2.17 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polvorín
29.2%

Draw
28.9%

Compostela
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

25.9%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

25.6%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polvorín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Compostela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Compostela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Polvorín - Compostela Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Polvorín will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Compostela will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Polvorín is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Compostela is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Compostela will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Polvorín won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Polvorín won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polvorín FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.10.22	Marino de Luanco - Polvorín	0:0 ✺
02.10.22	Polvorín - Rayo Cantabria	2:3 ✺
25.09.22	Laredo - Polvorín	3:1 ✺
18.09.22	Polvorín - Valladolid B	2:3 ✺
10.09.22	Palencia CA - Polvorín	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLLT
- SD Compostela
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.10.22	Compostela - Guijuelo	0:0 ✺
02.10.22	Zamora - Compostela	0:3 ✺
25.09.22	Compostela - Langreo	0:1 ✺
18.09.22	Ourense CF - Compostela	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Compostela - Burgos Promesas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
01.03.20	Polvorín - Compostela	2:0
20.01.19	Polvorín - Compostela	1:1
26.08.18	Compostela - Polvorín	2:0

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