Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 30

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	Burgos Promesas		Real Avilés

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.2	1.66
	5	3.1	1.7
	6.09	3.41	1.63
	5.6	3.54	1.6
	4.9	3.3	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.28 ↑ (4.7)	3.31 ↑ (2.88)	1.66 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos Promesas
17.3%

Draw
27.6%

Real Avilés
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

31.6%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

30.6%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Real Avilés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Avilés's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Burgos Promesas - Real Avilés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Burgos Promesas is Relegated to

Recent matches Burgos Promesas is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Avilés is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Burgos Promesas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Avilés is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Burgos Promesas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.04.23	Arenteiro - Burgos Promesas	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Burgos Promesas - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	Bergantiños - Burgos Promesas	0:2 ✺
18.03.23	Burgos Promesas - Coruxo	1:2 ✺
12.03.23	Polvorín - Burgos Promesas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LTWLW
- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.04.23	Real Avilés - Compostela	2:0 ✺
02.04.23	Marino de Luanco - Real Avilés	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Real Avilés - Rayo Cantabria	1:2 ✺
18.03.23	Laredo - Real Avilés	0:2 ✺
11.03.23	Real Avilés - Valladolid B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.12.22	Real Avilés - Burgos Promesas	3:0

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