Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Burgos Promesas		Coruxo

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.3	1.88
	4.26	3.42	1.82
	4.01	3.47	1.82	Watch
	3.9	3.1	1.85
	3.77	3.66	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.44)	3.39 ↑ (3.25)	1.85 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos Promesas
23.4%

Draw
27.1%

Coruxo
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

27.8%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

25.9%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Coruxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coruxo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Burgos Promesas - Coruxo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Cuenca Martinez H. F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Burgos Promesas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Coruxo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Coruxo is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Burgos Promesas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1.3:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Burgos Promesas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Coruxo FC	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.04.26	Burgos Promesas - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:4 ✺
29.03.26	Lealtad - Burgos Promesas	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Burgos Promesas - Rayo Cantabria	4:4 ✺
15.03.26	Marino de Luanco - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Burgos Promesas - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWTTW
- Coruxo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.04.26	Coruxo - Marino de Luanco	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Bergantiños - Coruxo	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Coruxo - Numancia	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Sámano - Coruxo	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Coruxo - Langreo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.01.26	Coruxo - Burgos Promesas	5:1
18.03.23	Burgos Promesas - Coruxo	1:2
30.10.22	Coruxo - Burgos Promesas	1:2

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