Match Info

ASEAN Club Championship - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Chang Arena (Buriram)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Vision+
Indonesia	MNC Soccer Channel
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, Thairath TV, True Ball Thai 1, True ID, True Sport 2
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball


	Buriram United		Johor Darul Takzim

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	3.4	2.28	Watch
	2.6	3.67	2.3
	2.53	3.96	2.25	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.3
	2.6	3.58	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.92)	3.58 ↓ (3.6)	2.27 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buriram United
35.1%

Draw
25.2%

Johor Darul Takzim
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

25.8%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

25.1%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buriram United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Johor Darul Takzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Johor Darul Takzim than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Buriram United - Johor Darul Takzim Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Buriram will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Johor will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Etheridge N. (G) 19. Schindler K. 3. Hemviboon P. 16. Dougall K. (C) 6. Good C. 2. Haiprakon S. 23. Causic G. 5. Bunmathan T. 44. Zulj P. 7. Bissoli 9. Jaided S.	16. Hazmi S. (G) 5. Antonio Cristian 22. Corbin-Ong L. 23. Israfilov E. 47. Aketxe A. 28. Mendez N. 4. Fazail A. (C) 9. Bergson 95. Marcos Guilherme 11. Jairo 24. Arribas O.
Substitutes
34. Bootprom C. (G) 33. Chotmuangpak T. 75. Lee-Oh S. 8. Maikami R. 10. Mueanta S. 54. Rattanasuwan N. 27. Sukjitthammakul P. 15. Weerawatnodom N.	1. Abad Amat C. (G) 15. Baharudin F. 21. Faiz N. 30. Insa N. 41. Kutty S. 27. Manusi I. 26. Sumareh M. 6. Wan H. 12. Wilkin S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Hemviboon P. 🟨,
33', Good C. 🟨,
34', Fazail A. 🟨,
35', Haiprakon S. 🟨,
38', Arribas O. 🟨,
44', Etheridge N. 🟨,
45+9', 0 - 1, Bergson (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hemviboon P. ↓, Lee-Oh S. ↑,
55', Israfilov E. 🟨,
61', Bunmathan T. ↓, Mueanta S. ↑,
62', 0 - 2, Marcos Guilherme ⚽,
64', Bissoli 🟨,
84', Fazail A. ↓, Wilkin S. ↑,
84', Jairo ↓, Kutty S. ↑,
87', Mendez N. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
98', 1 - 2, Schindler K. ⚽, Causic G. (A),
101', Marcos Guilherme ↓, Sumareh M. ↑,
101', Aketxe A. ↓, Faiz N. ↑,
102', Bissoli 🟨,
111', Jaided S. ↓, Sukjitthammakul P. ↑,
114', Sumareh M. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 3-1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Johor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Buriram has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buriram won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Buriram won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buriram United
Thai League 1
10.05.26	Buriram United - Lamphun Warriors	1:1 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
06.05.26	Johor Darul Takzim - Buriram United	1:3 ✺
Thai League 1
02.05.26	Thai Port - Buriram United	3:1 ✺
29.04.26	Rayong FC - Buriram United	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Kanchanaburi - Buriram United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLLW
- Johor Darul Takzim FC
Malaysian Super League
10.05.26	Kelantan The Real Warriors - Johor Darul Takzim	1:14 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
06.05.26	Johor Darul Takzim - Buriram United	1:3 ✺
Malaysian Super League
02.05.26	Johor Darul Takzim - Kuala Lumpur City	7:0 ✺
28.04.26	Melaka - Johor Darul Takzim	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
17.04.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Johor Darul Takzim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ASEAN Club Championship
06.05.26	Johor Darul Takzim - Buriram United	1:3
AFC Champions League
16.09.25	Buriram United - Johor Darul Takzim	2:1
11.03.25	Johor Darul Takzim - Buriram United	0:1
04.03.25	Buriram United - Johor Darul Takzim	0:0
03.12.24	Johor Darul Takzim - Buriram United	0:0

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