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Current Win Probability
Thai Port 43.3%
Draw 26.9%
Buriram United 29.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.5%
26%
44.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.6%
25.1%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thai Port has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thai Port's performance.
Buriram United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Buriram United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thai Port than the current prediction. (-12.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thai Port that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Buriram United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Thai Port - Buriram United Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB, 1st Half - Port (1.52) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Port (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
93. Falkesgaard M. (G) 4. Bureerat S. 36. Akkratum P. 17. Fandi I. 13. Lins M. 5. Chamratsamee P. (C) 33. Shimura N. 12. Kaka Mendes 44. Kanitsribampen W. 27. Lucas Tocantins 7. Leonardo Kalil
13. Etheridge N. (G) 75. Lee-Oh S. 22. Ko Myeong-Seok 3. Hemviboon P. 14. Walsh S. 8. Maikami R. 27. Sukjitthammakul P. 15. Weerawatnodom N. (C) 32. Zulj R. 33. Chotmuangpak T. 17. Fandi I.
Substitutes
23. Boutsingkham H. 26. Buran C. 30. Hongkhiao T. 40. Kemmueang R. (G) 8. Kesarat T. 35. Konglarp S. (G) 10. Phala B. 38. Phosri N. 14. Poeiphimai T. 21. Tiatrakul S. 16. Wongchai C. 1. Yos S. (G)
7. Bissoli 34. Bootprom C. (G) 5. Bunmathan T. 23. Causic G. 16. Dougall K. 40. Edu Mancha 2. Haiprakon S. 9. Jaided S. 29. Nareechan K. (G) 54. Rattanasuwan N. 44. Zulj P.
Coaches
Gama A.
Jackson M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Kanitsribampen W. ⚽, Kaka Mendes (A),
18', Walsh S. 🟨,
22', 2 - 0, Leonardo Kalil ⚽, Lins M. (A),
38', Shimura N. 🟨,
45+3', 3 - 0, Lucas Tocantins ⚽, Lins M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Zulj R. ↓, Zulj P. ↑,
50', Lee-Oh S. 🟨,
60', Hemviboon P. ↓, Haiprakon S. ↑,
66', Maikami R. ↓, Causic G. ↑,
66', Fandi I. ↓, Bissoli ↑,
73', Fandi I. ↓, Buran C. ↑,
73', Kanitsribampen W. ↓, Kesarat T. ↑,
73', Lucas Tocantins ↓, Poeiphimai T. ↑,
73', Chotmuangpak T. ↓, Jaided S. ↑,
78', Leonardo Kalil ↓, Phala B. ↑,
90+3', Lins M. ↓, Wongchai C. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 1, Zulj P. ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port won 2.
Port has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Buriram has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Port may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Port won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:33. (average 1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Port won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1:1.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Buriram
3
2
1
0
5:2
3
7
6
Port MTI FC
3
2
0
1
5:4
1
6
Last Results with these Odds
Buriram United - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 44.45%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Thailand
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Falkesgaard M. (G) 
Bureerat S. 
Fandi I. 
Lins M. 
Shimura N. 
Ko Myeong-Seok 
Walsh S. 
Zulj R. 
Boutsingkham H. 
Causic G. 
Dougall K. 
Jackson M. 
