The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Burnley 48.4%
Draw 25.1%
Durham 26.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.8%
26.5%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
24.9%
34.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burnley's performance.
Durham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Durham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burnley that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durham than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Durham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Burnley - Durham Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Levell K. (G) 2. Docherty C. 5. Cooper D. 3. Siddall E. 22. Paul A. 6. Toland T. 4. McPartlan B. 8. Finn J. 23. Hartley N. 44. Galton L. 10. Harrison-Murray C. (C)
13. King A. (G) 2. Ayre G. 5. Wilson S. (C) 4. McComasky M. 3. Briggs L. 25. Brown E. 21. Stobbs A. 11. Pennock J. 7. Hepple B. 10. Ede G. 19. Hutchison B.
Substitutes
25. Burns J. (G) 24. Cairns B. 14. Hennessy J. 11. Sena K. 20. Wilde M.
18. Addison A. 15. Bradley D. 22. Collinson G. 23. Lowe R. 24. Morran E. 12. Noble L. 35. Sheppard C. (G) 9. Watson L. 6. Wilson E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
9', King A. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Finn J. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Siddall E. ⚽, McPartlan B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Hutchison B. ↓, Watson L. ↑,
46', Briggs L. ↓, Wilson E. ↑,
46', Finn J. ↓, Cairns B. ↑,
46', Galton L. ↓, Wilde M. ↑,
63', Toland T. ↓, Sena K. ↑,
63', Cooper D. ↓, Hennessy J. ↑,
65', Stobbs A. ↓, Morran E. ↑,
70', Ede G. ↓, Addison A. ↑,
71', Pennock J. ↓, Collinson G. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Wilson S. ⚽,
81', 2 - 2, Watson L. ⚽, Wilson S. (A),
90+4', 3 - 2, Cairns B. ⚽, Siddall E. (A),
Preview
Recent results have been tough for Burnley (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Durham is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Burnley is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Burnley has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.
Specifically in home fixtures for Burnley against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.
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Levell K. (G) 
Toland T. 
McPartlan B. 
Harrison-Murray C. (C) 
McComasky M. 
Sheppard C. (G) 
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