Match Info

WSL 2 - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Maiden Castle (Durham)


	Durham		Newcastle United

	1	X	2
	7.75	5.50	1.26
	8.8	5.7	1.2
	10.06	6.55	1.21
	9.4	6.1	1.22	Watch
	9.95	6.45	1.17
	8.5	5.58	1.28
	9	6	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.07 ↑ (8)	5.98 ↑ (4.6)	1.22 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Durham
10.1%

Draw
15.3%

Newcastle United
74.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.2%

19.6%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Durham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle United's recent form is better than expected.

Durham - Newcastle United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Sheppard C. (G) 24. Morran E. 5. Wilson S. (C) 4. McComasky M. 3. Briggs L. 21. Stobbs A. 15. Bradley D. 7. Hepple B. 23. Lowe R. 11. Pennock J. 19. Hutchison B.	1. Tamminen A. (G) 27. McLauchlan R. (C) 25. Mannion A. 5. Purfield J. 18. Torpey K. 16. Antonsdottir H. 19. Bradley K. 26. Lumsden B. 17. Thomas M. 10. Lambert M. 4. Nobbs J.
Substitutes
18. Addison A. 2. Ayre G. 25. Brown E. 22. Collinson G. 10. Ede G. 13. King A. (G) 12. Noble L. 9. Watson L. 6. Wilson E.	23. Evans G. 30. Gale J. 11. Gregory F. 22. Joel L. 33. Kiernan L. 9. McGovern K. 15. Nemeth H. 12. Rendell K. (G) 2. Wardlaw C.
Coaches
Kirk W.	Oxtoby T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Antonsdottir H. ⚽,
43', Bradley D. 🟨,
45+4', Thomas M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', Hepple B. 🟨,
65', 0 - 2, Nobbs J. ⚽,
66', Lambert M. ↓, McGovern K. ↑,
69', Bradley D. ↓, Ede G. ↑,
71', McGovern K. 🟨,
72', Pennock J. 🟨,
81', Stobbs A. ↓, Ayre G. ↑,
81', Lowe R. ↓, Watson L. ↑,
83', Antonsdottir H. ↓, Joel L. ↑,
87', 0 - 3, Thomas M. ⚽, Lumsden B. (A),
90', Thomas M. ↓, Gale J. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 12th in the Relegation and 1st in the Promotion - WSL).

Durham has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Newcastle shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Newcastle holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Durham has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:2 (averaging 1.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Durham against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Newcastle Utd W	5	5	0	0	14:1	13	15
12	Durham W	5	0	0	5	5:16	-11	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Durham WFC
English League Cup Women
30.09.26	Durham - Manchester United	1:5 ✺
English WSL 2
27.09.26	Sheffield United - Durham	4:1 ✺
20.09.26	Durham - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Leicester City - Durham	4:2 ✺
06.09.26	Durham - Southampton	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Newcastle United Women
English League Cup Women
30.09.26	Aston Villa - Newcastle United	3:1 ✺
English WSL 2
27.09.26	Newcastle United - Leicester City	4:0 ✺
20.09.26	Newcastle United - Sheffield United	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Bristol City - Newcastle United	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Newcastle United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English WSL 2
02.05.26	Newcastle United - Durham	0:1
09.11.25	Durham - Newcastle United	1:1
16.03.25	Durham - Newcastle United	3:1
06.10.24	Newcastle United - Durham	0:1

Durham - Newcastle United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide