Match Info

Date: 10 December 2021, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Burnley U23		Nottingham Forest U23

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.6	2.2
	2.8	3.5	2.15
	2.7	3.5	2.11
	2.7	4.11	2.16
	2.62	3.5	2.25
	2.82	3.82	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.83)	3.67 ↑ (3.66)	2.17 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burnley U23
33.5%

Draw
24.7%

Nottingham Forest U23
41.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.1%

24.9%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

17.5%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Nottingham Forest U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley U23 than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burnley U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest U23 than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nottingham Forest U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	12.5%	68.7%

Burnley U23 - Nottingham Forest U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Burnley U23 will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Nottingham U23 will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham U23: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 12).

Burnley U23 is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nottingham U23 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Burnley U23 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Burnley U23 won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Burnley U23 won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley U23
English Premier League 2
26.11.21	Burnley U23 - Stoke City U23	0:1 ✺
22.11.21	Aston Villa U23 - Burnley U23	4:1 ✺
08.11.21	Burnley U23 - Fulham U23	1:2 ✺
01.11.21	Birmingham City U23 - Burnley U23	1:2 ✺
English Premier League Cup
25.10.21	Everton U23 - Burnley U23	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- Nottingham Forest U23
English Premier League 2
22.11.21	Nottingham Forest U23 - Newcastle Utd U23	1:3 ✺
English Premier League Cup
12.11.21	Middlesbrough U23 - Nottingham Forest U23	2:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
05.11.21	Norwich City U23 - Nottingham Forest U23	4:2 ✺
01.11.21	Nottingham Forest U23 - West Bromwich Albion U23	2:3 ✺
22.10.21	Fulham U23 - Nottingham Forest U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
01.10.21	Nottingham Forest U23 - Burnley U23	1:1
English Professional Development League
07.01.20	Nottingham Forest U23 - Burnley U23	2:1
23.09.19	Burnley U23 - Nottingham Forest U23	1:1
05.04.19	Nottingham Forest U23 - Burnley U23	2:1
19.11.18	Burnley U23 - Nottingham Forest U23	4:3
08.03.18	Burnley U23 - Nottingham Forest U23	3:2
13.10.17	Nottingham Forest U23 - Burnley U23	1:1

Burnley U23 - Nottingham Forest U23