Match Info

1. Lig - Round 7

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Timsah Park (Bursa)

Referee: Akarsu A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, TRT Spor
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Bursaspor		Erokspor

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.73	3.60	3.80
	1.66	3.57	4.73	Watch
	1.85	3.63	4.43
	1.71	3.91	4.35	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4.35
	1.76	3.51	4.65
	1.72	3.55	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.7)	3.58 ↓ (4.1)	4.38 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bursaspor
53.1%

Draw
25.8%

Erokspor
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

22.5%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

21.7%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bursaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bursaspor than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bursaspor - Erokspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Bursaspor will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Matisli K. (G) 18. Yavru Z. 24. Babacan A. 57. Yayikci B. 93. Gok B. 34. Akcan E. 6. Elitim J. 80. Saranic I. 10. Lincoln 7. Akbunar H. (C) 14. Iheanacho K.	22. Canpolat E. (G) 77. Bilazer H. 21. Ozturk B. 14. Ulas O. 33. Alic E. 8. Kanga G. 5. Okyar M. 70. Orak F. 88. Zeqiri A. 53. Erdogan Y. (C) 18. Samudio B.
Substitutes
8. Aydogdu S. 42. Baker L. 20. Basyigit B. 5. Basyigit E. 27. Bayramov T. 77. Berisbek R. 73. Boutrah A. 4. Ersoy E. 39. Kivanc A. (G) 66. Maldar H.	20. Buljubasic M. 34. Cetin E. (G) 17. Coban B. 7. Janvier N. 6. Kacar T. 39. Kas E. 4. Luccas Claro 10. Niyaz R. 52. Ozyurt Y. 27. Yazgan F.
Coaches
Er M.	Karaman H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Iheanacho K. ⚽, Saranic I. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Okyar M. ⚽,
20', 2 - 1, Lincoln ⚽,
27', Kanga G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Orak F. ↓, Janvier N. ↑,
46', Zeqiri A. ↓, Coban B. ↑,
50', 2 - 2, Erdogan Y. ⚽, Kanga G. (A),
54', Erdogan Y. ↓, Ozyurt Y. ↑,
63', Akbunar H. ↓, Boutrah A. ↑,
63', Gok B. ↓, Bayramov T. ↑,
69', Karaman H. 🟨,
73', Iheanacho K. 🟨,
75', Akcan E. ↓, Aydogdu S. ↑,
75', Saranic I. ↓, Maldar H. ↑,
77', Ozyurt Y. ↓, Buljubasic M. ↑,
77', Samudio B. ↓, Kas E. ↑,
83', Yavru Z. ↓, Berisbek R. ↑,
90+1', Canpolat E. 🟨,
90+6', Elitim J. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Bursaspor is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Erokspor's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Erokspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bursaspor is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Erokspor: Faye M. (Red Card)

We predict that Bursaspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bursaspor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 1:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bursaspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bursaspor	8	6	1	1	16:7	9	19
17	Erokspor	8	0	5	3	4:10	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bursaspor
Turkish First League
07.09.26	Manisa FK - Bursaspor	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Bursaspor - İstanbulspor	4:0 ✺
29.08.26	Kayserispor - Bursaspor	1:2 ✺
21.08.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Bursaspor	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Bursaspor - Igdirspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW
- Erokspor
Turkish First League
07.09.26	Erokspor - Kayserispor	0:3 ✺
03.09.26	Bodrumspor - Erokspor	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Erokspor - Igdirspor	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Umraniyespor - Erokspor	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Erokspor - Sarıyer	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
13.04.24	Erokspor - Bursaspor	5:1
02.12.23	Bursaspor - Erokspor	1:1
11.03.23	Erokspor - Bursaspor	2:2
01.10.22	Bursaspor - Erokspor	0:3

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