Match Info

UGANDA: Premier League - Round 29

Date: 14 May 2024, Tuesday


	Busoga United		Vipers

	1	X	2
	4	3.2	1.83
	4.59	3.35	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↑ (3.49)	3.28 ↑ (3.14)	1.8 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busoga United
21.3%

Draw
27.9%

Vipers
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

29.5%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

27.4%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busoga United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Busoga United's form might have worsened.

Vipers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vipers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busoga United than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Busoga United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vipers than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vipers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	27. Mudekereza A. (G)
	16. Hilary M.
	21. Kambale E.
	29. Karisa M. (C)
	35. Luyima E.
	28. Matsiko G.
	18. Mbowa P.
	8. Okello A.
	26. Waiswa M.
	25. Watambala A. K.
	2. Youngman J.
Substitutes
	7. Ekbad M.
	34. Katongole F.
	19. Komakech J. (G)
	11. Lawal A.
	3. Matovu R.
	37. Nsereko A.
	6. Sentamu S.
	33. Torach R.
	36. Walusimbi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Karisa M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Waiswa M. ↓, Walusimbi A. ↑,
60', Kambale E. ↓, Nsereko A. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Mugwa B. ⚽,
68', 1 - 2, Watambala A. K. ⚽,
70', 🟨,
75', Okello A. ↓, Sentamu S. ↑,
78', 🟨,
78', 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Busoga United won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Vipers have a series of guest games.

In this match Vipers is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Busoga United won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 8-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Busoga United won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busoga United
Ugandan Super League
11.05.24	Kitara - Busoga United	3:2 ✺
30.04.24	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Busoga United	0:0 ✺
26.04.24	Busoga United - Wakiso Giants	2:1 ✺
18.04.24	Maroons - Busoga United	3:0 ✺
04.04.24	Busoga United - Villa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTWLT
- Vipers SC
Ugandan Super League
11.05.24	NEC FC - Vipers	0:0 ✺
01.05.24	Bul - Vipers	1:0 ✺
23.04.24	Vipers - Maroons	1:1 ✺
19.04.24	Kitara - Vipers	0:2 ✺
Ugandan Cup
14.04.24	Kitara - Vipers	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
07.01.24	Vipers - Busoga United	3:0
20.12.22	Busoga United - Vipers	1:0
16.03.22	Vipers - Busoga United	2:0
11.12.21	Busoga United - Vipers	1:4
13.04.21	Vipers - Busoga United	4:0
20.12.20	Busoga United - Vipers	3:5
02.11.19	Busoga United - Vipers	0:1

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