The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mbarara City 11.1%
Draw 22.1%
Vipers 66.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
11.6%
21.4%
67%
Our Initial ML Estimation
11.2%
20.6%
69.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mbarara City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Vipers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vipers than the current prediction. (+3%)
Mbarara City - Vipers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Usama A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 1 - 1, Kakaire T. ⚽,
85', 1 - 2, Sentamu Y. ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mbarara City won 0.
Mbarara City has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Vipers is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Vipers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Mbarara City has had a series of away games.
Recently, Vipers has had a series of home games.
In this match, Vipers is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Mbarara City won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Mbarara City won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.4:0.9).