Match Info

UZBEKISTAN: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 9

Date: 4 May 2023, Thursday

Location: Buxoro Arena (Bukhara)

Referee: Abduvohidov R. (Uzb)


	Buxoro		Metallurg Bekabad

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.6
	2.05	3.2	3.81
	2.13	3.1	3.6
	2	3.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.51)	3.16 ↑ (2.98)	3.65 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buxoro
45.5%

Draw
29.2%

Metallurg Bekabad
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

30.9%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

30.6%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buxoro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Buxoro's performance.

Metallurg Bekabad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metallurg Bekabad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxoro than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Buxoro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Bekabad than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metallurg Bekabad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Buxoro won 0.

Buxoro has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Metallurg Bekabad is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Buxoro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Buxoro won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Buxoro won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Buxoro
Uzbek League
21.04.23	Buxoro - Neftchi Fargona	2:2 ✺
16.04.23	Olympic Tashkent - Buxoro	1:0 ✺
07.04.23	Buxoro - Bunyodkor	0:2 ✺
31.03.23	Surkhon Termez - Buxoro	2:0 ✺
17.03.23	Buxoro - Nasaf Qarshi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLLLL
- Metallurg Bekabad
Uzbek League
24.04.23	Andijan - Metallurg Bekabad	5:0 ✺
16.04.23	Metallurg Bekabad - AGMK	2:0 ✺
08.04.23	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Metallurg Bekabad	2:2 ✺
02.04.23	Metallurg Bekabad - Pakhtakor	1:3 ✺
19.03.23	Metallurg Bekabad - Qizilqum	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek Cup
07.12.20	Buxoro - Metallurg Bekabad	0:2
Uzbek League
23.10.20	Metallurg Bekabad - Buxoro	0:0
02.07.20	Buxoro - Metallurg Bekabad	1:4
27.11.19	Buxoro - Metallurg Bekabad	0:0
29.03.19	Metallurg Bekabad - Buxoro	2:0
30.11.18	Metallurg Bekabad - Buxoro	1:0
24.10.18	Buxoro - Metallurg Bekabad	1:0

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