Match Info

Super League - Round 6

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Tukimachi Stadioni (Bukhara)

Referee: Shukurullayev A. (Uzb)


	Buxoro		Nasaf Qarshi

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.5	1.57
	5.4	3.5	1.6
	5.74	3.58	1.68
	5.48	3.52	1.61
	5.29	3.76	1.63
	5.4	3.5	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.43 ↓ (6.26)	3.56 ↓ (3.63)	1.62 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buxoro
17%

Draw
25.9%

Nasaf Qarshi
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

25.4%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

25%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buxoro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Nasaf Qarshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxoro than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Buxoro - Nasaf Qarshi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abdullaev S. (G) 33. Tomasevic J. 93. Kolakovic M. 5. Kulmatov S. 97. Jurabekov S. 4. Utamurodov J. 94. Ikic F. 25. Cirjak F. 88. Begic D. 17. Ruziev J. 10. Norkhonov S.	35. Nematov A. (G) 14. Mukhitdinov S. 92. Eshmurodov U. 5. Gaybullaev G. 28. Mukhammadiev S. 22. Golban I. 8. Abdirakhmatov Z. 7. Mozgovoy A. 10. Ceran D. 17. Nurulloev S. 18. Norchaev K.
Substitutes
21. Boymurodov O. (G) 8. Juraev A. 77. Kayumov A. 71. Nurullaev A.	73. Asomiddinov D. 24. Bakhromov S. 2. Davronov A. 33. Khalilov B. 9. Sidikov J. 80. Usmonov D. 1. Vorobey O. (G)
Coaches
Bakaev U.	Berdiev R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Mukhammadiev S. 🟨,
39', Begic D. ↓, Polatov ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Nurulloev S. ↓, Rakhmatov M. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Golban I. ⚽,
58', Jurabekov S. ↓, Qayumov ↑,
58', Tomasevic J. ↓, Yoldoshev ↑,
58', Ruziev J. ↓, Xayrullayev ↑,
61', Kulmatov S. 🟨,
79', Abdirakhmatov Z. ↓, Cholovich ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Colovic S. (Pen),
90+1', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 3, Kulmatov S. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Buxoro won 0.

Recent matches Buxoro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nasaf is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nasaf could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nasaf is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Buxoro won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 10:26 (average 0.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Buxoro won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:9 (average 0.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Buxoro
Uzbek League
12.04.25	Kokand 1912 - Buxoro	1:0 ✺
04.04.25	Buxoro - Bunyodkor	0:2 ✺
27.03.25	Xorazm Urganch - Buxoro	1:4 ✺
14.03.25	Buxoro - Qizilqum	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	AGMK - Buxoro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLWWL
- Nasaf Qarshi
Uzbek League
13.04.25	Nasaf Qarshi - Surkhon Termez	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Shurtan Guzar - Nasaf Qarshi	1:4 ✺
29.03.25	Nasaf Qarshi - Neftchi Fargona	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Andijan - Nasaf Qarshi	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Nasaf Qarshi - Sogdiana Jizzakh	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
10.08.23	Nasaf Qarshi - Buxoro	1:0
Uzbek Cup
01.08.23	Nasaf Qarshi - Buxoro	4:3
Uzbek League
17.03.23	Buxoro - Nasaf Qarshi	0:1
18.10.20	Buxoro - Nasaf Qarshi	0:0
26.06.20	Nasaf Qarshi - Buxoro	0:0
22.09.19	Nasaf Qarshi - Buxoro	1:2
04.05.19	Buxoro - Nasaf Qarshi	0:1

Buxoro - Nasaf Qarshi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide