Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 24

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Bærum		Ulfstind

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.24	5.9	7.9
	1.22	5.8	6.2
	1.03	15.42	20.29	Watch
	1.25	5.55	8.45
	1.63	4.4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.67)	7.41 ↑ (4.6)	9.29 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bærum
76.4%

Draw
13.1%

Ulfstind
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

19.9%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

20.9%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bærum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bærum's performance.

Ulfstind has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ulfstind might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bærum than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bærum that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulfstind than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ulfstind could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bærum - Ulfstind Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Bransdal L. ⚽,
12', 2 - 0, Coric K. ⚽,
16', 3 - 0, Bransdal L. ⚽,
30', Sivertsen E. 🟥,
45+2', 4 - 0, Myrmo M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 5 - 0, Dacic A. ⚽,
80', 5 - 1, Haugen S. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 5).

Recent form of Bærum has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ulfstind is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ulfstind may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bærum is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bærum Sportsklubb
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
04.10.25	Gamle Oslo - Bærum	4:2 ✺
27.09.25	Bærum - Funnefoss Vormsund	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Skjervøy - Bærum	3:2 ✺
13.09.25	Bærum - Frigg Oslo	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Fløya - Bærum	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LTLLW
- IL Ulfstind
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
02.10.25	Ulfstind - Fløya	4:2 ✺
27.09.25	Harstad - Ulfstind	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	Ulfstind - Sortland	3:2 ✺
07.09.25	Ulfstind - Alta 2	0:3 ✺
30.08.25	Gamle Oslo - Ulfstind	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWWLW

Upcoming Matches