Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 25

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Gamle Oslo		Bærum

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.50	3.40
	1.68	4.25	3.55
	1.64	4.39	3.47
	1.69	4.55	3.56	Watch
	1.6	4.3	3.4
	1.62	4.4	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.9)	4.4 ↑ (4)	3.53 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gamle Oslo
54.3%

Draw
20.3%

Bærum
25.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.4%

22.1%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

20.8%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gamle Oslo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gamle Oslo's performance.

Bærum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bærum might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamle Oslo than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gamle Oslo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bærum than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bærum could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gamle Oslo - Bærum Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4 - over (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Arvesen C. S. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Hansen F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 2, Jansson O. ⚽,
62', 2 - 2, Jammeh E. ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 3rd and 6th).

Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Gamle Oslo holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Gamle Oslo has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:12 (averaging 2.2:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gamle Oslo against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:5 goals (averaging 3:2.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Gamle Oslo	25	14	3	8	73:46	27	45
6	Baerum Sportsklubb	25	12	3	10	68:48	20	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gamle Oslo
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
17.10.26	Grei - Gamle Oslo	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Gamle Oslo - Nordstrand	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Frigg Oslo - Gamle Oslo	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Lokomotiv Oslo - Gamle Oslo	4:1 ✺
20.09.26	Gamle Oslo - Asker Fotball	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWTLL
- Bærum Sportsklubb
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
17.10.26	Bærum - Ullern	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Asker Fotball - Bærum	4:2 ✺
04.10.26	Bærum - Ready	1:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.10.26	Bærum - Lillestrøm SK	1:5 ✺
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
26.09.26	Vålerenga 2 - Bærum	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
11.04.26	Bærum - Gamle Oslo	5:1
04.10.25	Gamle Oslo - Bærum	4:2
10.05.25	Bærum - Gamle Oslo	1:2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
20.10.24	Bærum - Gamle Oslo	1:2
27.04.24	Gamle Oslo - Bærum	2:3

Gamle Oslo - Bærum