The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bílovec 23%
Draw 20.8%
Vratimov 56.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
21.2%
21.4%
57.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.7%
20.9%
58.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bílovec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Vratimov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bílovec than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vratimov than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 15th and 3rd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bílovec won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Bílovec (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Vratimov shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Bílovec could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Vratimov is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Bílovec has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:9 (averaging 1.3:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bílovec against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:4 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).