Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński		Kotwica Kórnik

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.20	5.00
	1.41	4.25	5.5
	1.39	4.57	5.69
	1.46	4.47	5.36	Watch
	1.37	4.5	5.6
	1.28	6.14	7.47	Watch
	1.32	5.1	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.32)	4.75 ↓ (5.1)	5.76 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
65.3%

Draw
19%

Kotwica Kórnik
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

17.4%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

16.3%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Kotwica Kórnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kotwica Kórnik than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Kotwica Kórnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Krocz S. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Krocz S. ⚽,
20', 2 - 1, Hyl G. ⚽,
35', 2 - 2, Sarnowski I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 2 - 3, Hyl G. ⚽,
90+18', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Stargard has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kotwica Kórnik's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stargard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Stargard is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stargard won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Stargard won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Blekitni Stargard	11	5	3	3	27:19	8	18
16	Kotwica Kornik	11	3	1	7	18:32	-14	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
Polish Division 3 - Group II
29.08.26	Flota Świnoujście - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:5 ✺
23.08.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Luzino	2:1 ✺
19.08.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	4:1 ✺
15.08.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Lech Poznań 2	4:2 ✺
08.08.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWLWL
- Kotwica Kórnik
Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.08.26	Kotwica Kórnik - Chemik Bydgoszcz	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Września - Kotwica Kórnik	1:0 ✺
19.08.26	Kotwica Kórnik - Bałtyk Koszalin	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Flota Świnoujście - Kotwica Kórnik	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Kotwica Kórnik - Luzino	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
22.03.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Kotwica Kórnik	3:1
24.08.24	Kotwica Kórnik - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:1

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