Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 29

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Unia Swarzędz		Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.7	2.78
	2.14	3.7	2.63
	1.96	3.87	3.08	Watch
	2.05	3.5	2.8
	1.89	3.64	3.36	Watch
	1.74	3.51	3.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.74)	3.65 ↑ (3.51)	3.06 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unia Swarzędz
45.7%

Draw
24.7%

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

25.2%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

22.9%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unia Swarzędz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unia Swarzędz's form might have worsened.

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unia Swarzędz than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unia Swarzędz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Unia Swarzędz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unia Swarzędz won 4.

Unia Swarzędz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Stargard has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Unia Swarzędz is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Unia Swarzędz won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.7:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Unia Swarzędz won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Blekitni Stargard	11	5	3	3	27:19	8	18
11	Unia Swarzedz	11	4	1	6	20:19	1	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unia Swarzędz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
25.04.26	Flota Świnoujście - Unia Swarzędz	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Unia Swarzędz - Cartusia Kartuzy	4:1 ✺
10.04.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Unia Swarzędz	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Unia Swarzędz - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Unia Swarzędz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TWWWL
- Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
Polish Division 3 - Group II
25.04.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Wda Świecie - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Luzino	1:4 ✺
04.04.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Września	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
11.10.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Unia Swarzędz	1:1
15.03.25	Unia Swarzędz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:1
21.08.24	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Unia Swarzędz	0:1
16.03.24	Unia Swarzędz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	3:0
23.08.23	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Unia Swarzędz	1:3
17.06.23	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Unia Swarzędz	0:0
19.11.22	Unia Swarzędz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:1

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