Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Céltiga		Montañeros

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.92	3.3
	2.19	2.96	3.44
	8.06	3.92	1.42	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.3
	2.15	2.93	3.4
	2.14	3	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.08)	3.09 ↓ (3.25)	3.03 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Céltiga
32.8%

Draw
33.3%

Montañeros
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Céltiga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Céltiga's form might have worsened.

Montañeros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montañeros's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Céltiga than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Céltiga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montañeros than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montañeros, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Céltiga - Montañeros Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+7', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 8).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Montañeros may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Céltiga might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Céltiga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Celtiga	5	1	2	2	5:6	-1	5
18	Montaneros	5	1	0	4	7:11	-4	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Céltiga FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
18.01.26	Céltiga - Arosa	3:4 ✺
10.01.26	Atlético Arteixo - Céltiga	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Céltiga - Noia	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	RC Villalbes - Céltiga	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Céltiga - Barbadás	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWLW
- Atlético Coruña Montañeros
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
18.01.26	Juventud Cambados - Montañeros	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Montañeros - Boiro	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Barco - Montañeros	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Montañeros - Compostela	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Estradense - Montañeros	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
07.09.25	Montañeros - Céltiga	2:1

Céltiga - Montañeros: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide