Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Céltiga		Arosa

	1	X	2
	2.92	2.82	2.42
	2.97	2.93	2.45	Watch
	2.9	2.7	2.45
	3	3.23	2.34
	2.9	2.8	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.83)	2.9 ↓ (3.2)	2.43 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Céltiga
31%

Draw
31.5%

Arosa
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

28.4%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

28.3%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Céltiga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Céltiga than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Céltiga - Arosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Santos S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
67', 2 - 1, ⚽,
70', 2 - 2, Lopez I. ⚽,
71', 2 - 3, Lombao A. C. ⚽,
81', 3 - 3, ⚽,
90', 3 - 4, Seijo A. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Arosa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Céltiga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Céltiga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Celtiga	5	1	2	2	5:6	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Céltiga FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
10.01.26	Atlético Arteixo - Céltiga	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Céltiga - Noia	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	RC Villalbes - Céltiga	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Céltiga - Barbadás	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Alondras - Céltiga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLWL
- Arosa SC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
11.01.26	Arosa - Juventud Cambados	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Boiro - Arosa	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Arosa - Barco	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Compostela - Arosa	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Arosa - Estradense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
08.09.18	Céltiga - Arosa	0:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
28.04.18	Arosa - Céltiga	2:1

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