Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday


	CD Extremadura		Azuaga

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.35	3.1	2.85
	2.41	3.1	3
	2.36	3.01	3.02	Watch
	2.3	3.08	2.95
	2.35	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.06)	3.08 ↓ (3.18)	2.9 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Extremadura
38.9%

Draw
29.6%

Azuaga
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

30.5%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Extremadura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CD Extremadura's form might have worsened.

Azuaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Extremadura than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CD Extremadura, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azuaga than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Azuaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

CD Extremadura - Azuaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Gueye M. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Molina A. ⚽,
23', 1 - 2, Mwanza I. ⚽,
44', 2 - 2, Diaz D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Extremadura
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
01.12.24	Castuera - CD Extremadura	3:0 ✺
24.11.24	CD Extremadura - Trujillo	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
13.11.24	CD Extremadura - Compostela	2:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
10.11.24	CD Extremadura - Puebla de la Calzada	7:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
06.11.24	CD Extremadura - Las Rozas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWW
- CD Azuaga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
01.12.24	Azuaga - Jaraíz	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Arroyo - Azuaga	0:2 ✺
17.11.24	Azuaga - Llerenense	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Olivenza - Azuaga	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Azuaga - Jerez	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWTW

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