The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Olivenza 16%
Draw 23.4%
Azuaga 60.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.6%
22.8%
64.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.1%
22%
67%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olivenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Azuaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olivenza than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azuaga than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Azuaga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Olivenza - Azuaga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Olivenza won 1.
Recent matches Olivenza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Azuaga in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Azuaga is a favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Olivenza won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10:17 (average 1:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Olivenza won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:9 (average 0.8:1.5).