Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Francisco de la Hera (Almendralejo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana, Footballclub


	CD Extremadura		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.2	3.05	3.1
	2.22	3.07	3.33
	2.46	3.07	2.96	Watch
	2.19	3	3.25
	2.26	3.25	3.14
	2.16	3.05	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.79)	3.08 ↑ (3.04)	3.12 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Extremadura
41%

Draw
29.7%

Leonesa
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

29.9%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

29.8%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Extremadura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CD Extremadura's performance.

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leonesa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Extremadura than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CD Extremadura that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leonesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

CD Extremadura - Leonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Liceras A. (G) 2. Bekhoucha I. 4. Correa R. (C) 5. Molina S. 21. Macias A. 6. Ballesteros Y. 11. Gonzalez M. 17. Villar J. 10. Kike 9. Rodri 23. Dieguito	1. Parera P. M. (G) 20. Lopez I. 3. Vazquez J. 15. Jaso Zunzarren A. 17. Pomares C. 7. Benito P. A. P. 23. Algobia A. 14. Bicho (C) 10. Cardero A. 22. Queipo D. 9. Delgado J.
Substitutes
22. Areosa H. 20. Burgos I. 3. Cordero C. 14. Espejo D. 19. Gothler A. 7. Imanol Barce 16. Lecic L. 12. Nordin M. 1. Robador D. (G) 18. Sanchez E.	33. Aller H. 19. Escobar A. 31. Fernandez M. 21. Garcia J. 16. Lopez O. 6. Maestre S. 8. Ndiaye A. 2. Ortega G. 30. Oviedo A. 5. Pier R. 13. San Roman M. (G) 24. Tiru B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Vazquez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Ballesteros Y. ↓, Lecic L. ↑,
63', Villar J. ↓, Nordin M. ↑,
72', Delgado J. ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
72', Cardero A. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
74', Kike 🟨,
86', Gonzalez M. 🟥,
89', Pomares C. ↓, Lopez O. ↑,
89', Bekhoucha I. ↓, Cordero C. ↑,
89', Rodri ↓, Burgos I. ↑,
89', Dieguito ↓, Espejo D. ↑,
90+7', 0 - 1, Benito P. A. P. ⚽,
90+8', Queipo D. ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
90+10', Correa R. 🟨,
90+12', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Extremadura could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Extremadura is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Cultural Leonesa	6	2	2	2	4:5	-1	8
13	CD Extremadura	6	2	0	4	5:6	-1	6

Last Results with these Odds

Leonesa - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 37.59%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Extremadura
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.09.26	Barakaldo - CD Extremadura	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	CD Extremadura - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	UD Logroñés - CD Extremadura	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.26	CD Extremadura - Betis B	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	CD Extremadura - Recreativo Huelva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWT
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.09.26	Cacereño - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Leonesa - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Barakaldo - Leonesa	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.26	Atlético Astorga - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Leonesa - Salamanca	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTTW

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