Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 1

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Campo de Lasesarre (Barakaldo)


	Barakaldo		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.25	3.10
	2.05	3.10	3.20
	2.28	3.15	2.80
	2.17	3.18	3.20
	2.13	3.32	3.34	Watch
	2.10	3.10	3.10
	2.09	3.20	3.25
	2.05	3.15	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.33)	3.18 ↓ (3.28)	3.15 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barakaldo
42.7%

Draw
28.5%

Leonesa
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

27.9%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Barakaldo - Leonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Campos G. (G) 5. Muguruza A. 17. Trigueros P. 18. Gomez B. 3. Zoilo A. 26. Ruiz M. 8. Huidobro J. (C) 14. Collado U. 21. Fernandez X. 27. Mateos E. 20. Okolo	1. Parera P. M. (G) 20. Lopez I. 16. Lopez O. 3. Vazquez J. 15. Jaso Zunzarren A. 10. Cardero A. 14. Bicho (C) 6. Maestre S. 7. Benito P. A. P. 22. Queipo D. 9. Delgado J.
Substitutes
22. Calera S. 2. Camus S. 15. Castillo I. 1. Ispizua I. (G) 4. Marotias O. 11. Mattheus C. 9. Sola X. 19. Troncho A. 32. Uruena A. 30. Xabier S.	11. Garcia H. 21. Garcia J. 29. Lucas 31. Marcos F. 27. Mauro S. 8. Ndiaye A. 2. Ortega G. 30. Ovi 28. Pastor V. 17. Pomares C. . Ruiz A. 13. San Roman M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Benito P. A. P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Jaso Zunzarren A. 🟨,
64', Cardero A. ↓, Ndiaye A. ↑,
64', Queipo D. ↓, Garcia H. ↑,
70', Mateos E. ↓, Mattheus C. ↑,
70', Fernandez X. ↓, Castillo I. ↑,
77', Jaso Zunzarren A. ↓, Pomares C. ↑,
78', Collado U. ↓, Troncho A. ↑,
78', Okolo ↓, Sola X. ↑,
83', Zoilo A. ↓, Calera S. ↑,
85', Huidobro J. 🟨,
90', Delgado J. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,

Preview

Barakaldo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Barakaldo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Cultural Leonesa	6	2	2	2	4:5	-1	8
16	Barakaldo	6	1	3	2	6:9	-3	6

Last Results with these Odds

Leonesa - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 32.78%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barakaldo CF
Club Friendly
14.08.26	Portugalete - Barakaldo	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Barakaldo - Athletic Bilbao B	3:1 ✺
01.08.26	Barakaldo - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.05.26	Barakaldo - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Real Avilés - Barakaldo	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWTW
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Club Friendly
21.08.26	Atlético Astorga - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Leonesa - Salamanca	5:0 ✺
05.08.26	Leonesa - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.05.26	Real Sociedad B - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.05.25	Leonesa - Barakaldo	2:1
08.12.24	Barakaldo - Leonesa	3:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
27.10.19	Barakaldo - Leonesa	0:0

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