Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 27

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	CD Extremadura		Águilas

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.92	3.95
	2	2.88	4.47
	1.93	3.13	4.03
	1.97	3.11	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.26)	3.01 ↓ (3.03)	4.15 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Extremadura
47.1%

Draw
30.7%

Águilas
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

30%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

29.1%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Extremadura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CD Extremadura's performance.

Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Águilas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Extremadura than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CD Extremadura that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Águilas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

CD Extremadura - Águilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 1 - 0, Zarfino G. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Extremadura will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Extremadura won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Extremadura
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.03.26	Almeria B - CD Extremadura	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	CD Extremadura - Lorca Deportiva	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Xerez Deportivo - CD Extremadura	0:0 ✺
18.02.26	CD Extremadura - Antoniano	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	UCAM Murcia - CD Extremadura	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWTWT
- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.03.26	Águilas - Puente Genil	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Real Jaén - Águilas	3:1 ✺
25.02.26	Águilas - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Águilas - Malaga B	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	La Unión - Águilas	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.09.25	Águilas - CD Extremadura	1:2

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