Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 21

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio de La Condomina (Murcia)


	UCAM Murcia		CD Extremadura

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.25	4.25
	1.75	3.53	4.55
	1.74	3.48	4.43	Watch
	1.78	3.66	4.28
	1.76	3.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.81)	3.45 ↑ (3.38)	4.4 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
52.4%

Draw
26.7%

CD Extremadura
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

26.8%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

25.5%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

CD Extremadura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Extremadura than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

UCAM Murcia - CD Extremadura Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. UCAM Murcia will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for UCAM Murcia: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): UCAM Murcia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Marin A. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Villajos M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 7).

UCAM Murcia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Extremadura has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, UCAM Murcia is considered a favorite.

We predict that UCAM Murcia will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.01.26	Xerez Deportivo - UCAM Murcia	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	UCAM Murcia - Puente Genil	3:2 ✺
11.01.26	Antoniano - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	UCAM Murcia - Águilas	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.25	UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWW
- CD Extremadura
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.01.26	CD Extremadura - Puente Genil	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Malaga B - CD Extremadura	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	CD Extremadura - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Recreativo Huelva - CD Extremadura	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	CD Extremadura - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.10.25	CD Extremadura - UCAM Murcia	2:2
Spanish Copa Federacion
02.10.24	CD Extremadura - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ET

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