The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CD FAS 39.9%
Draw 29.7%
Luis Ángel Firpo 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
28.8%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.4%
29.6%
26.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CD FAS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Luis Ángel Firpo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD FAS than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CD FAS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luis Ángel Firpo than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
CD FAS - Luis Ángel Firpo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Yan Maciel ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Medrano E. ⚽,
42', 3 - 0, Medrano E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 3 - 1, Firpo L. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FAS won 2.
FAS has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Luis Ángel Firpo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Luis Ángel Firpo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, FAS won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, FAS won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).