Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	INCA-Aruba		Luis Ángel Firpo

	1	X	2
	7.50	5.00	1.29
	7.4	4.6	1.3
	8.32	5.11	1.33
	8.72	5.27	1.31	Watch
	7.7	5.05	1.31
	7.74	4.42	1.4
	7.4	4.6	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.83 ↑ (6)	4.86 ↑ (3.95)	1.32 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

INCA-Aruba
11.7%

Draw
18.8%

Luis Ángel Firpo
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

22.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

INCA-Aruba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Luis Ángel Firpo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luis Ángel Firpo's recent form is better than expected.

INCA Aruba - Luis Ángel Firpo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Luis Ángel Firpo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

INCA-Aruba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Luis Ángel Firpo is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Luis Angel Firpo	13	7	4	2	23:9	14	25
9	Inca Aruba	14	4	4	6	12:23	-11	16

Last Results with these Odds

Luis Ángel Firpo - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 62.32%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD INCA-Aruba
El Salvador Primera Division
08.08.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - INCA-Aruba	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	INCA-Aruba - CD FAS	0:4 ✺
29.07.26	Municipal Limeño - INCA-Aruba	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	INCA-Aruba - Alianza San Miguel	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLL
- Luis Ángel Firpo
CONCACAF Central American Cup
13.08.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Diriangén	4:0 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
08.08.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Municipal Limeño	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
04.08.26	Plaza Amador - Luis Ángel Firpo	2:1 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
29.07.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Fuerte San Francisco	4:0 ✺
26.07.26	Águila - Luis Ángel Firpo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWT

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