Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 12

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Pedro Escartín (Guadalajara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	CD Guadalajara		Illescas

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	5
	1.62	3.4	4.75
	1.63	3.5	5
	1.63	3.6	5.52
	1.61	3.52	5.45
	1.62	3.58	5.38
	1.63	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.58)	3.5 ↑ (3.5)	5.16 ↓ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Guadalajara
56.2%

Draw
26.1%

Illescas
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

26%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

24.3%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CD Guadalajara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

CD Guadalajara - Illescas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', Cheki 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 0, Iglesias E. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 3.

Guadalajara in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Illescas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Guadalajara is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Guadalajara to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:10 (average 2.6:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Guadalajara won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:6 (average 3.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.11.24	Conquense - CD Guadalajara	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	CD Guadalajara - Rayo Majadahonda	3:0 ✺
27.10.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - CD Guadalajara	2:2 ✺
19.10.24	CD Guadalajara - Real Madrid C	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Unión Adarve - CD Guadalajara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWTWW
- CD Illescas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.11.24	Illescas - Melilla	1:3 ✺
03.11.24	Atlético Paso - Illescas	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Illescas - Colonia Moscardó	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Móstoles URJC - Illescas	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Illescas - Getafe B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
31.03.24	Illescas - CD Guadalajara	1:2
19.11.23	CD Guadalajara - Illescas	1:2
Spanish Copa Federacion
04.10.23	CD Guadalajara - Illescas	4:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
27.02.22	Illescas - CD Guadalajara	2:1
30.10.21	CD Guadalajara - Illescas	5:3
20.01.21	Illescas - CD Guadalajara	1:2
12.01.20	CD Guadalajara - Illescas	3:0

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