Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Pedro Escartín (Guadalajara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV, Footballclub


	CD Guadalajara		Real Madrid C

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.75
	1.8	3.25	3.8
	1.88	3.25	3.85
	2.02	3.25	4.09
	1.95	3.15	3.89
	1.92	3.32	3.85
	1.88	3.25	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.63)	3.24 ↓ (3.43)	3.87 ↓ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Guadalajara
48%

Draw
28.3%

Real Madrid C
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

26.6%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

25.2%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CD Guadalajara's form might have worsened.

Real Madrid C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Madrid C's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CD Guadalajara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid C than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Madrid C, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

CD Guadalajara - Real Madrid C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Ramirez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 2 - 0, Diaz B. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 13).

Guadalajara is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Real Madrid C is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Guadalajara is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Guadalajara to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.10.24	Unión Adarve - CD Guadalajara	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	CD Guadalajara - San Sebastian Reyes	6:0 ✺
29.09.24	Cacereño - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	CD Guadalajara - Talavera de la Reina	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Tenerife B - CD Guadalajara	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWTWT
- Real Madrid C
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.10.24	Real Madrid C - Melilla	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Atlético Paso - Real Madrid C	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Real Madrid C - Colonia Moscardó	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	Móstoles URJC - Real Madrid C	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Real Madrid C - Getafe B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTLTT

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