Match Info

Date: 9 February 2022, Wednesday


	CDE Madrid		Atlético Madrid B

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.3	1.8
	3.05	2.63	2.25
	3.55	3.05	1.92
	4.11	3.06	1.85
	3	3.1	2.25
	4	3.34	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.26)	3.08 ↑ (3.05)	1.99 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CDE Madrid
25.3%

Draw
29.3%

Atlético Madrid B
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

29.5%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

22.5%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CDE Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CDE Madrid than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Madrid B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

CDE Madrid - Atlético Madrid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

CDE Madrid is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atlético Madrid B is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

CDE Madrid could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Atlético Madrid B will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDE Madrid
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
06.02.22	Torrejón - CDE Madrid	2:0 ✺
26.01.22	Tres Cantos - CDE Madrid	0:0 ✺
23.01.22	CDE Madrid - Galapagar	0:0 ✺
16.01.22	Alcorcón B - CDE Madrid	3:1 ✺
09.01.22	CDE Madrid - Las Rozas	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTTLL
- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
05.02.22	Atlético Madrid B - Villaviciosa de Odón	7:1 ✺
27.01.22	Atlético Madrid B - Villaverde San Andrés	1:0 ✺
23.01.22	Trival Valderas - Atlético Madrid B	1:1 ✺
16.01.22	Atlético Madrid B - Ursaria	0:0 ✺
09.01.22	Parla - Atlético Madrid B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWTTW

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