Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 12

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday


	CDE Madrid		Galapagar

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.2
	2	3	3.15
	2.03	3.1	3.15
	2.03	3.12	3.35
	2.01	3.32	3.32
	2.05	3.25	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 (2.02)	3.17 ↓ (3.24)	3.25 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CDE Madrid
44.2%

Draw
28.2%

Galapagar
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

25.2%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CDE Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Galapagar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CDE Madrid than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

CDE Madrid - Galapagar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches CDE Madrid is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Galapagar is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

CDE Madrid will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches CDE Madrid won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams CDE Madrid won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDE Madrid
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
27.11.22	Las Rozas - CDE Madrid	2:1 ✺
20.11.22	CDE Madrid - Alcalá	0:2 ✺
06.11.22	Ursaria - CDE Madrid	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Torrejón - CDE Madrid	0:0 ✺
16.10.22	CDE Madrid - Móstoles URJC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LLTTW
- CD Galapagar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
27.11.22	Galapagar - Real Aranjuez	3:1 ✺
20.11.22	Trival Valderas - Galapagar	1:0 ✺
06.11.22	Galapagar - Rayo Vallecano B	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Galapagar - RSC Internacional	0:5 ✺
23.10.22	Las Rozas - Galapagar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
23.01.22	CDE Madrid - Galapagar	0:0
15.09.21	Galapagar - CDE Madrid	0:3

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