Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Nou Sardenya Municipal Stadium (Barcelona)


	CE Europa		Marbella

	1	X	2
	2	2.9	3.7
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.2	3.05	3.2
	1.98	3.48	3.72
	1.30	4.70	10.55	Watch
	2.25	3.08	3.21
	2.15	2.95	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.15)	3.32 ↑ (2.87)	4.38 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CE Europa
48.6%

Draw
29.2%

Marbella
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

31.8%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

31%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CE Europa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CE Europa's performance.

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CE Europa than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CE Europa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

CE Europa - Marbella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flere J. (G) 22. Puig J. 3. Escoruela R. 4. Cano A. 5. Campeny A. 9. Mahicas J. 16. Gonzalez I. 8. Babanzilla M. 7. Cano J. 19. Andrews G. 17. Ghailan A.	1. Garcia M. (G) 14. Olguin M. 4. Punal A. 3. Martinez A. 15. Gabri 16. Ruiz A. 10. Luis Alcalde 5. Acosta L. 6. Lopez A. 21. Palacin P. 9. Rodri
Substitutes
23. Caravaca T. 18. Cespedes M. 26. Edo V. 13. Garcia L. (G) 27. Mokhles A. 29. Noureddine K. 11. Paredes Toni 10. Pla A. 2. Rodriguez G. 20. Vacas O.	17. Alexiel 2. Alvarez J. 7. Awudu T. 18. Du Yuezheng 19. Ohemeng E. 22. Toper 13. Vassilev D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Punal A. 🟨,
26', Babanzilla M. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Ghailan A. ⚽,
39', Cano J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Punal A. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
60', Mahicas J. 🟥,
65', Martinez A. ↓, Ohemeng E. ↑,
65', Rodri ↓, Awudu T. ↑,
66', Babanzilla M. ↓, Caravaca T. ↑,
67', Escoruela R. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
74', Gabri 🟨,
82', Acosta L. 🟨,
83', 2 - 0, Cano J. ⚽,
85', Luis Alcalde ↓, Toper ↑,
85', Acosta L. ↓, Du Yuezheng ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Du Yuezheng ⚽,
87', Ghailan A. ↓, Vacas O. ↑,
87', Cano J. ↓, Paredes Toni ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
90+6', Garcia M. 🟥,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 9).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Europa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

CE Europa - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.4%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Europa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.09.25	Teruel - CE Europa	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	CE Europa - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Villarreal B - CE Europa	3:3 ✺
06.09.25	CE Europa - Sevilla B	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - CE Europa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWTTW
- Marbella FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.09.25	Marbella - Betis B	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Tarazona - Marbella	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Marbella - Ibiza	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Algeciras - Marbella	0:0 ✺
01.09.25	Marbella - Real Murcia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTTTW

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