Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 1

Date: 1 September 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Marbella (Marbella)


	Marbella		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.8	2.63
	2.6	2.8	2.6
	2.52	2.92	2.88
	2.65	2.99	2.86
	5.77	4.09	1.52	Watch
	2.62	2.75	2.62
	2.51	2.89	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.65)	3.03 ↑ (2.99)	2.57 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
31.4%

Draw
31.5%

Real Murcia
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

30.6%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Marbella - Real Murcia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Marbella will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Murcia will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Murcia (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Murcia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Garcia M. (G) 2. Alvarez J. 4. Punal A. 14. Olguin M. 24. Vanheusden Z. 19. Ohemeng E. 6. Lopez A. 10. Luis Alcalde 8. Eugeni 7. Awudu T. 9. Rodri	1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 18. Vicente D. 6. Gonzalez A. 24. Saveljich E. 3. Romero C. 20. Zenitagoia E. 28. Seyram 10. Gomez I. 30. Joao Pedro Palmberg 9. Benito P. A. P. 11. Bustos A.
Substitutes
5. Acosta L. 11. Boussefiane H. 18. Du Yuezheng 23. Escassi A. 15. Gabri 3. Martinez A. 20. Palacin P. 30. Tomi 22. Toper 13. Vassilev D. (G)	27. Alonso 31. Djanbou S. 26. Hector 5. Jaso Zunzarren A. 22. Juan Carlos 14. Leon P. 19. Matheus Cadorini 2. Mier J. 13. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 29. Sarabia 8. Schalk A. 17. Zeka A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Zenitagoia E. ⚽,
18', Romero C. 🟨,
24', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Rodri ⚽,
35', Punal A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Lopez A. 🟨,
61', Romero C. ↓, Mier J. ↑,
61', Mathieu K. ↓, Schalk A. ↑,
64', Lopez A. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
67', Joao Pedro Palmberg 🟨,
68', Zenitagoia E. ↓, Matheus Cadorini ↑,
70', Olguin M. 🟨,
76', Rodri ↓, Palacin P. ↑,
76', Luis Alcalde ↓, Tomi ↑,
79', Benito P. A. P. ↓, Leon P. ↑,
79', Bustos A. ↓, Zeka A. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Eugeni ⚽,
85', Schalk A. 🟨,
87', Ohemeng E. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
87', Eugeni ↓, Escassi A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marbella won 0.

Murcia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Marbella won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Marbella won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Marbella - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.51%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Real Murcia - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 34.91%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Club Friendly
13.08.25	Marbella - Puente Genil	1:0 ✺
31.07.25	Marbella - Almería	0:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.05.25	Marbella - Antequera	2:0 ✺
17.05.25	Alcorcón - Marbella	3:1 ✺
11.05.25	Marbella - Recreativo Huelva	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTWLW
- Real Murcia
Club Friendly
15.08.25	Real Murcia - Melilla	3:1 ✺
09.08.25	Orihuela - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
06.08.25	Real Murcia - Eldense	3:1 ✺
02.08.25	Hércules - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
30.07.25	Lorca Deportiva - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.02.25	Marbella - Real Murcia	1:4
20.10.24	Real Murcia - Marbella	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.11.19	Real Murcia - Marbella	1:1
03.03.19	Real Murcia - Marbella	1:1
14.10.18	Marbella - Real Murcia	0:0
04.03.18	Marbella - Real Murcia	1:1
15.10.17	Real Murcia - Marbella	3:0

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