The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CFR Cluj 52.5%
Draw 28.3%
CSKA Sofia 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.9%
25%
18.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
14.7%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CFR Cluj has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
CSKA Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CFR Cluj than the current prediction. (-19%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CFR Cluj that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CSKA Sofia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80.7%
10.3%
9%
CFR Cluj - CSKA Sofia Predictions
Users Predictions:
CFR Cluj will win
(117 of 145 users predict this - 80.69%). Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 87.11%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Limited number of spectators.
CFR Cluj has a small chance of round of 32 (12%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (3%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
CSKA Sofia has not chance of round of 32, has not chance of round of 16, has not chance of qtrs, has not chance of semis, has not chance of final, has not chance of win league.
CFR Cluj is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches CSKA Sofia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
CSKA Sofia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match CFR Cluj is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches CFR Cluj won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
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