Match Info

efbet League - Round 29

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ogosta Stadium (Montana)

Referee: Mitrev V. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Slovenia	SportKlub 6


	Montana		CSKA Sofia

	1	X	2
	12	5.25	1.24	Watch
	11	5.15	1.25
	15.2	5.87	1.24
	13.89	5.44	1.24	Watch
	10	5	1.25
	11.6	5.55	1.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.28 ↑ (7.8)	5.38 ↑ (4.05)	1.24 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montana
7.6%

Draw
17.4%

CSKA Sofia
75%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.7%

22.5%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.3%

21.8%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

CSKA Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CSKA Sofia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montana than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CSKA Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Montana - CSKA Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: CSKA Sofia will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rosa M. (G) 13. Soares J. 5. Markov I. 18. Iliev K. 16. Carmona Sierra D. 14. Burov D. 20. Balde U. 24. Tsingaras A. 23. Tungarov A. (C) 10. Todorov A. 9. Ejike P.	21. Lapoukhov F. (G) 2. Pastor 5. Dellova L. 32. Rodriguez F. 17. Martino A. 94. Solet I. 77. Piedrahita A. 99. Eto'o J. 10. Ebong M. 38. Leo Pereira 28. Pittas I. (C)
Substitutes
15. Acheampong C. 8. Atanasov P. 22. Beji 25. James S. 17. Kokonov I. 3. Linner A. 6. Sakor V. 30. Simeonov V. (G) 26. Slavchev R.	25. Evtimov D. (G) 9. Godoy L. 73. Iliev I. 14. Ivanov T. 6. Jordao B. 4. Lapena A. 30. Panayotov P. 19. Turitsov I. 3. Yordanov A.
Coaches
Atanasov A.	Yanev H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Rosa M. 🟨,
63', Ejike P. ↓, Beji ↑,
65', Ebong M. ↓, Panayotov P. ↑,
65', Solet I. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
70', Tungarov A. ↓, Kokonov I. ↑,
80', Piedrahita A. ↓, Iliev I. ↑,
84', Martino A. 🟨,
87', Leo Pereira 🟨,
89', Todorov A. ↓, Sakor V. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 1, Panayotov P. ⚽, Godoy L. (A),
90+7', Pittas I. ↓, Lapena A. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )).

Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )

CSKA Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montana won 0.

Montana has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

CSKA Sofia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, CSKA Sofia is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Montana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 4:21. (average 0.4:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Montana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.4:2).

Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

CSKA Sofia: 23.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	CSKA Sofia	10	7	3	0	24:7	17	24

Last Results with these Odds

CSKA Sofia - the odds 1.39 are the expected chance of winning is 65.78%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Montana
Bulgarian Parva Liga
04.04.26	Arda Kardzhali - Montana	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Montana - Beroe Stara Zagora	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Cherno More Varna - Montana	1:0 ✺
09.03.26	Montana - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:3 ✺
03.03.26	Spartak Varna - Montana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CSKA Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
04.04.26	Beroe Stara Zagora - CSKA Sofia	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	CSKA Sofia - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - CSKA Sofia	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	CSKA Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	CSKA Sofia - Botev Vratsa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
02.11.25	CSKA Sofia - Montana	2:1
21.04.21	CSKA Sofia - Montana	6:0
08.11.20	Montana - CSKA Sofia	1:2
Bulgarian Cup
25.09.18	Montana - CSKA Sofia	0:2
Bulgarian Parva Liga
11.03.17	CSKA Sofia - Montana	2:1
21.10.16	Montana - CSKA Sofia	0:2
Bulgarian Cup
24.05.16	Montana - CSKA Sofia	0:1

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