Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 6

Date: 20 March 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)


	CRB Maceio		Juazeirense

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.2	6.75
	1.4	4.2	7
	1.41	4.37	9.23
	1.36	4.37	9.23
	1.36	4.2	7.5
	1.39	4.15	7.36	Watch
	1.4	4.1	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.51)	4.23 ↑ (3.78)	7.7 ↑ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
66.2%

Draw
21.8%

Juazeirense
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

24.4%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

23.9%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Juazeirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juazeirense than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

CRB Maceio - Juazeirense Predictions

Users Predictions: CRB Maceio will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Matheus Albino (G) 9. Anselmo Ramon (C) 3. Fabio Alemao 98. Falcao 8. Gege 32. Hereda 38. Leo Pereira 7. Mike 17. Romulo 4. Saimon 13. Willian Formiga	1. Affonso de Jesus G. (G) 10. Bruno Matos 2. Edson Oliveira (C) 11. Ian Augusto 22. Janeudo 7. Mauro 15. Patrik 9. Pedro Henrique 6. Talys 4. Wendell 3. Ze Romario
Substitutes
16. Alejandro 6. Cesar C. 11. Diaz A. 30. Facu Labandeira 26. Gustavo Henrique 34. Heron 35. Joao Neto 33. Joao Pedro 10. Jorginho 2. Matheus Ribeiro 1. Vitor Caetano (G) 19. Welder	19. Alexsandro 20. Clebson 8. Elivelton 13. Gean 12. Jailson (G) 21. Luis Soares 14. Rian M. 5. Waguinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Anselmo Ramon (Pen),
39', 2 - 0, Anselmo Ramon ⚽,
41', Ian Augusto 🟨,
43', Fabio Alemao 🟨,
45+2', Saimon 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mauro ↓, Waguinho ↑,
46', Bruno Matos ↓, Alexsandro ↑,
46', Janeudo ↓, Clebson ↑,
60', Patrik ↓, Elivelton ↑,
60', Falcao 🟨,
61', Romulo ↓, Cesar C. ↑,
61', Falcao ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Alexsandro ⚽,
69', Mike ↓, Jorginho ↑,
80', Gege ↓, Facu Labandeira ↑,
80', Hereda ↓, Matheus Ribeiro ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Facu Labandeira ⚽,
90+8', 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).

CRB is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Juazeirense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

CRB could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match CRB is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches CRB won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams CRB won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
16.03.24	CRB Maceio - Murici	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.03.24	CRB Maceio - Athletic Club	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
09.03.24	Murici - CRB Maceio	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
06.03.24	ABC - CRB Maceio	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
02.03.24	CRB Maceio - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWTL
- SD Juazeirense
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
06.03.24	Juazeirense - América RN	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
03.03.24	Bahia de Feira - Juazeirense	5:1 ✺
25.02.24	Juazeirense - Bahia	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
21.02.24	Maranhão - Juazeirense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
17.02.24	Juazeirense - Jacobina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
14.05.19	CRB Maceio - Juazeirense	2:1
07.05.19	Juazeirense - CRB Maceio	0:0

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